TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12081826
Played Jun 23Finished
Thomas Pellny
Home
1.95
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611811118211––
Kirill Fadeev
Away
1.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
68 points played in total.
Set by set
611811118211––
H2H Thomas Pellny 0–2 Kirill Fadeev Thomas Pellny has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fadeev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fadeev form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPellny 1.95 / Fadeev 1.75
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Fadeev)+1.3pp
Challenger Series TT · #12081826
Pellny1.95
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Fadeev1.75
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePellny0wins
AwayFadeev2wins
Fadeev leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away2
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricPellnyFadeevP − FBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match27.041.0−14.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPellnyFadeevBasisWin rate · lifetime19 / 33 vs 144 / 19857.6%72.7%19 / 33 vs 144 / 198Avg sets wonper match2.22.5per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FadeevPellny 1.95/Fadeev 1.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Fadeev · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Fadeev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJun 23 · 08:00T. Pellny—681121K. Fadeev—11118113
LJun 23 · 07:30T. Pellny—681121K. Fadeev—11118113
T. Pellny10
LJun 23 · 10:44M. Stefanidis1.751111113T. Pellny1.959660LJun 23 · 09:15M. Danzer1.57611812113T. Pellny2.25117111062LJun 23 · 08:00T. Pellny2.10681121K. Fadeev1.6711118113LJun 22 · 16:10T. Pellny1.80131111772M. Stefanidis1.901191311113WJun 22 · 14:00T. Pellny4.33511119113M. Danzer1.2011861182WJun 22 · 10:30T. Pellny1.731111117113M. Nogami2.0081371172WJun 22 · 08:30T. Pellny1.2812119113A. Ostrovskyi3.501061171WJun 22 · 06:30T. Pellny1.141111139113L. Dreykorn5.0096151182WApr 17 · 10:40D. Rinderer1.8371211952T. Pellny1.831110811113LApr 17 · 09:45G. Alcayde1.831111113T. Pellny1.836970
K. Fadeev10
WSep 7 · 11:30K. Fadeev1.361111113V. Senkbeil3.008490WSep 7 · 10:00K. Fadeev1.0311118113C. Schmitt10.00491161WSep 7 · 08:00K. Waltl6.00114861K. Fadeev1.1191111113WSep 1 · 11:00K. Fadeev2.003121110113K. Zimmermann1.70111011272LSep 1 · 09:47A. Limonov1.40111111143K. Fadeev2.751355121LSep 1 · 08:00A. Limonov1.57111195113K. Fadeev2.2584111172WSep 1 · 07:00K. Fadeev—611511113M. Stefanidis—11711992WAug 31 · 15:30K. Zimmermann2.6311115282K. Fadeev1.44361111113WAug 31 · 13:30S. Amann8.504740K. Fadeev1.05111183WJun 23 · 08:00T. Pellny2.10681121K. Fadeev1.6711118113
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