TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12081117
Played Jun 22Finished
Thomas Pellny
Home
1.14
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1191161315911118
Linus Dreykorn
Away
5.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingThomas Pellny above · Linus Dreykorn below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 13-15
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 104 set 5, 11-8
104 points played in total.
H2H Thomas Pellny 1–0 Linus Dreykorn Linus Dreykorn has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Pellny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pellny form (60%) is below what odds imply (88%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPellny 1.14 / Dreykorn 5.00
Signal prob.81% / 19%
Edge (Pellny)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12081117
Pellny1.14
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Dreykorn5.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePellny1wins
AwayDreykorn0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderPellny leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPellnyDreykornP − DBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match55.049.0+6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPellnyDreykornBasisWin rate · lifetime19 / 33 vs 2 / 2257.6%9.1%19 / 33 vs 2 / 22Avg sets wonper match2.20.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.228.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PellnyPellny 1.14/Dreykorn 5.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81.4%
Pellny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pellny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJun 22 · 06:30T. Pellny—1111139113L. Dreykorn—96151182
T. Pellny10
LJun 23 · 10:44M. Stefanidis1.751111113T. Pellny1.959660LJun 23 · 09:15M. Danzer1.57611812113T. Pellny2.25117111062LJun 23 · 08:00T. Pellny2.10681121K. Fadeev1.6711118113LJun 23 · 07:30T. Pellny1.95681121K. Fadeev1.7511118113LJun 22 · 16:10T. Pellny1.80131111772M. Stefanidis1.901191311113WJun 22 · 14:00T. Pellny4.33511119113M. Danzer1.2011861182WJun 22 · 10:30T. Pellny1.731111117113M. Nogami2.0081371172WJun 22 · 08:30T. Pellny1.2812119113A. Ostrovskyi3.501061171WApr 17 · 10:40D. Rinderer1.8371211952T. Pellny1.831110811113LApr 17 · 09:45G. Alcayde1.831111113T. Pellny1.836970
L. Dreykorn10
LJun 30 · 06:30O. Kosolosky1.051111113L. Dreykorn8.504780LJun 29 · 16:30L. Kraus1.221211113L. Dreykorn4.0010880LJun 29 · 15:00D. Rinderer1.081111113L. Dreykorn7.002430LJun 29 · 13:30L. Dreykorn10.5077121352K. Fadeev1.0211111011113LJun 29 · 11:30L. Dreykorn2.386590S. Carrillo1.531111113LJun 29 · 10:00L. Dreykorn2.634380A. Itagaki1.441111113LJun 29 · 08:00J. Shim1.301111113L. Dreykorn3.406260LJun 23 · 07:00K. Fadeev1.031111113L. Dreykorn10.009620LJun 23 · 06:30K. Fadeev1.021111113L. Dreykorn8.309620LJun 22 · 17:30M. Danzer1.041111113L. Dreykorn9.004690
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