TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12119790
Played Jun 29Finished
Linus Dreykorn
Home
10.50
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 8
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
71171112101311511
Kirill Fadeev
Away
1.03
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingLinus Dreykorn above · Kirill Fadeev below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 98 set 5, 5-11
98 points played in total.
H2H Linus Dreykorn 0–3 Kirill Fadeev Linus Dreykorn has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 91% — Strong (leans Fadeev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fadeev form (60%) is below what odds imply (98%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDreykorn 10.50 / Fadeev 1.02
Signal prob.9% / 91%
Edge (Fadeev)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12119790
Dreykorn10.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest13%takes the first set · 1 of 8
Fadeev1.02
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeDreykorn0wins
AwayFadeev3wins
Fadeev leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dreykorn1Fadeev2n = 3Fadeev took 2 of 3
S2Dreykorn0Fadeev3n = 3Fadeev took 3 of 3
S3Dreykorn0Fadeev3n = 3Fadeev took 3 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away267%
These 3 meetings
MetricDreykornFadeevD − FBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match21.735.7−14.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDreykornFadeevBasisWin rate · lifetime2 / 26 vs 152 / 2087.7%73.1%2 / 26 vs 152 / 208Avg sets wonper match0.72.5per matchAvg pointsper match25.937.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FadeevDreykorn 10.50/Fadeev 1.02
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
91.1%
Fadeev · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Fadeev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LJun 23 · 07:00L. Dreykorn—9620K. Fadeev—1111113
LJun 23 · 06:30L. Dreykorn—9620K. Fadeev—1111113
LJun 16 · 07:00L. Dreykorn—116951K. Fadeev—81111113
L. Dreykorn10
LJun 30 · 06:30O. Kosolosky1.051111113L. Dreykorn8.504780LJun 29 · 16:30L. Kraus1.221211113L. Dreykorn4.0010880LJun 29 · 15:00D. Rinderer1.081111113L. Dreykorn7.002430LJun 29 · 11:30L. Dreykorn2.386590S. Carrillo1.531111113LJun 29 · 10:00L. Dreykorn2.634380A. Itagaki1.441111113LJun 29 · 08:00J. Shim1.301111113L. Dreykorn3.406260LJun 23 · 07:00K. Fadeev1.031111113L. Dreykorn10.009620LJun 23 · 06:30K. Fadeev1.021111113L. Dreykorn8.309620LJun 22 · 17:30M. Danzer1.041111113L. Dreykorn9.004690LJun 22 · 14:30M. Nogami1.501111113L. Dreykorn2.506970
K. Fadeev10
WSep 7 · 10:00K. Fadeev1.0311118113C. Schmitt10.00491161WSep 7 · 08:00K. Waltl6.00114861K. Fadeev1.1191111113WSep 1 · 11:00K. Fadeev2.003121110113K. Zimmermann1.70111011272LSep 1 · 09:47A. Limonov1.40111111143K. Fadeev2.751355121LSep 1 · 08:00A. Limonov1.57111195113K. Fadeev2.2584111172WSep 1 · 07:00K. Fadeev—611511113M. Stefanidis—11711992WAug 31 · 15:30K. Zimmermann2.6311115282K. Fadeev1.44361111113WAug 31 · 13:30S. Amann8.504740K. Fadeev1.05111183WJun 23 · 07:00K. Fadeev1.031111113L. Dreykorn10.009620WJun 23 · 06:30K. Fadeev1.021111113L. Dreykorn8.309620
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