TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12119843
Played Jun 29Finished
Linus Dreykorn
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611511911––––
Sergio Carrillo
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingLinus Dreykorn above · Sergio Carrillo below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 53 set 3, 9-11
53 points played in total.
H2H Linus Dreykorn 0–1 Sergio Carrillo Linus Dreykorn has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Carrillo)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Carrillo form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDreykorn 2.38 / Carrillo 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Carrillo)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12119843
Dreykorn2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest13%takes the first set · 1 of 8
Carrillo1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
33%takes the first set · 3 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeDreykorn0wins
AwayCarrillo1wins
Carrillo leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricDreykornCarrilloD − CBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match20.033.0−13.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDreykornCarrilloBasisWin rate · lifetime2 / 29 vs 2 / 66.9%33.3%2 / 29 vs 2 / 6Avg sets wonper match0.71.3per matchAvg pointsper match26.027.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CarrilloDreykorn 2.38/Carrillo 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Carrillo · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Carrillo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJun 29 · 11:30L. Dreykorn—6590S. Carrillo—1111113
L. Dreykorn10
LJun 30 · 06:30O. Kosolosky1.051111113L. Dreykorn8.504780LJun 29 · 16:30L. Kraus1.221211113L. Dreykorn4.0010880LJun 29 · 15:00D. Rinderer1.081111113L. Dreykorn7.002430LJun 29 · 13:30L. Dreykorn10.5077121352K. Fadeev1.0211111011113LJun 29 · 10:00L. Dreykorn2.634380A. Itagaki1.441111113LJun 29 · 08:00J. Shim1.301111113L. Dreykorn3.406260LJun 23 · 07:00K. Fadeev1.031111113L. Dreykorn10.009620LJun 23 · 06:30K. Fadeev1.021111113L. Dreykorn8.309620LJun 22 · 17:30M. Danzer1.041111113L. Dreykorn9.004690LJun 22 · 14:30M. Nogami1.501111113L. Dreykorn2.506970
S. Carrillo10
LJul 7 · 08:00S. Carrillo8.0081111582K. Fadeev1.06117511113WJul 6 · 17:00S. Carrillo6.5012111310123E. Mendes1.101491112102WJul 6 · 15:00S. Carrillo2.2071112113S. Happek1.611171091LJul 6 · 14:00S. Carrillo1.258850C. Schmitt3.751111113LJul 6 · 10:30S. Carrillo7.0091780D. Rinderer1.081119113LJul 6 · 08:30S. Carrillo2.63811691L. Kraus1.4411811113LJul 6 · 06:30S. Carrillo1.521131281T. Saltzer2.30131110113LJun 30 · 08:30O. Kosolosky1.081111113S. Carrillo7.006240LJun 29 · 17:00D. Rinderer1.071111113S. Carrillo7.509130LJun 29 · 15:30S. Carrillo8.0010530K. Fadeev1.061211113
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