TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12086211
Played Jun 23Finished
Kirill Fadeev
Home
1.03
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119116112––––
Linus Dreykorn
Away
10.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingKirill Fadeev above · Linus Dreykorn below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-2
Point 50 set 3, 11-2
50 points played in total.
H2H Kirill Fadeev 3–0 Linus Dreykorn Linus Dreykorn has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 91% — Strong (leans Fadeev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fadeev form (80%) is below what odds imply (97%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFadeev 1.03 / Dreykorn 10.00
Signal prob.91% / 9%
Edge (Fadeev)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12086211
Fadeev1.03
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Dreykorn10.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest25%takes the first set · 2 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeFadeev3wins
AwayDreykorn0wins
Fadeev leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fadeev2Dreykorn1n = 3Fadeev took 2 of 3
S2Fadeev3Dreykorn0n = 3Fadeev took 3 of 3
S3Fadeev3Dreykorn0n = 3Fadeev took 3 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricFadeevDreykornF − DBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match35.721.7+14.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFadeevDreykornBasisWin rate · lifetime144 / 198 vs 2 / 2372.7%8.7%144 / 198 vs 2 / 23Avg sets wonper match2.50.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.827.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FadeevFadeev 1.03/Dreykorn 10.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
90.7%
Fadeev · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Fadeev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJun 23 · 07:00K. Fadeev—1111113L. Dreykorn—9620
WJun 23 · 06:30K. Fadeev—1111113L. Dreykorn—9620
WJun 16 · 07:00K. Fadeev—81111113L. Dreykorn—116951
K. Fadeev10
WSep 7 · 10:00K. Fadeev1.0311118113C. Schmitt10.00491161WSep 7 · 08:00K. Waltl6.00114861K. Fadeev1.1191111113WSep 1 · 11:00K. Fadeev2.003121110113K. Zimmermann1.70111011272LSep 1 · 09:47A. Limonov1.40111111143K. Fadeev2.751355121LSep 1 · 08:00A. Limonov1.57111195113K. Fadeev2.2584111172WSep 1 · 07:00K. Fadeev—611511113M. Stefanidis—11711992WAug 31 · 15:30K. Zimmermann2.6311115282K. Fadeev1.44361111113WAug 31 · 13:30S. Amann8.504740K. Fadeev1.05111183WAug 31 · 12:10M. Gremillion7.00512100K. Fadeev1.081114123LAug 31 · 07:00S. Almeida2.17111510143K. Fadeev1.6291312121
L. Dreykorn10
LJun 30 · 06:30O. Kosolosky1.051111113L. Dreykorn8.504780LJun 29 · 16:30L. Kraus1.221211113L. Dreykorn4.0010880LJun 29 · 15:00D. Rinderer1.081111113L. Dreykorn7.002430LJun 29 · 13:30L. Dreykorn10.5077121352K. Fadeev1.0211111011113LJun 29 · 11:30L. Dreykorn2.386590S. Carrillo1.531111113LJun 29 · 10:00L. Dreykorn2.634380A. Itagaki1.441111113LJun 29 · 08:00J. Shim1.301111113L. Dreykorn3.406260LJun 23 · 06:30K. Fadeev1.021111113L. Dreykorn8.309620LJun 22 · 17:30M. Danzer1.041111113L. Dreykorn9.004690LJun 22 · 14:30M. Nogami1.501111113L. Dreykorn2.506970
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