TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12081833
Played Jun 22Finished
Thomas Pellny
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
13111191113711711
Marco Stefanidis
Away
1.90
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
104 points played in total.
Set by set
13111191113711711
H2H Thomas Pellny 1–1 Marco Stefanidis Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pellny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stefanidis form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPellny 1.80 / Stefanidis 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pellny)+2.6pp
Challenger Series TT · #12081833
Pellny1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Stefanidis1.90
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePellny1wins
AwayStefanidis1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricPellnyStefanidisP − SBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match45.544.5+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPellnyStefanidisBasisWin rate · lifetime19 / 28 vs 74 / 19367.9%38.3%19 / 28 vs 74 / 193Avg sets wonper match2.41.6per matchAvg pointsper match39.032.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PellnyPellny 1.80/Stefanidis 1.90
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Pellny · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Stefanidis won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WApr 16 · 06:30T. Pellny—11119113M. Stefanidis—691171
LMay 26 · 06:30T. Pellny—13781472M. Stefanidis—11111112113
T. Pellny10
LJun 23 · 10:44M. Stefanidis1.751111113T. Pellny1.959660LJun 23 · 09:15M. Danzer1.57611812113T. Pellny2.25117111062LJun 23 · 08:00T. Pellny2.10681121K. Fadeev1.6711118113LJun 23 · 07:30T. Pellny1.95681121K. Fadeev1.7511118113WJun 22 · 14:00T. Pellny4.33511119113M. Danzer1.2011861182WJun 22 · 10:30T. Pellny1.731111117113M. Nogami2.0081371172WJun 22 · 08:30T. Pellny1.2812119113A. Ostrovskyi3.501061171WJun 22 · 06:30T. Pellny1.141111139113L. Dreykorn5.0096151182WApr 17 · 10:40D. Rinderer1.8371211952T. Pellny1.831110811113LApr 17 · 09:45G. Alcayde1.831111113T. Pellny1.836970
M. Stefanidis10
LSep 7 · 10:30M. Stefanidis4.70119961M. Henninger1.1461111113LSep 7 · 08:30M. Stefanidis6.258180R. Turrini1.081111113LSep 7 · 06:30M. Stefanidis—111081172C. Schmitt—912103113LSep 1 · 07:00K. Fadeev—611511113M. Stefanidis—11711992WAug 31 · 17:30M. Gremillion—119911122M. Stefanidis—811117143LAug 31 · 14:30M. Henninger1.311113123M. Stefanidis3.20311100LAug 31 · 13:00K. Zimmermann—11118113M. Stefanidis—661161LAug 31 · 11:20S. Almeida1.8511114113M. Stefanidis1.80451171WAug 31 · 10:30S. Amann2.10118771M. Stefanidis1.6651111113WJun 23 · 10:44M. Stefanidis1.751111113T. Pellny1.959660
Upcoming Matches
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M. Stefanidis
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