TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12081840
Played Jun 22Finished
Thomas Pellny
Home
4.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
511118116911118
Matthias Danzer
Away
1.20
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
How it is goingThomas Pellny above · Matthias Danzer below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 91 set 5, 11-8
91 points played in total.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Danzer)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pellny form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (23%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPellny 4.33 / Danzer 1.20
Signal prob.22% / 78%
Edge (Danzer)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12081840
Pellny4.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Danzer1.20
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPellnyDanzerBasisWin rate · lifetime18 / 27 vs 207 / 28766.7%72.1%18 / 27 vs 207 / 287Avg sets wonper match2.32.5per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanzerPellny 4.33/Danzer 1.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
78.3%
Danzer · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pellny won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
T. Pellny10
LJun 23 · 10:44M. Stefanidis1.751111113T. Pellny1.959660LJun 23 · 09:15M. Danzer1.57611812113T. Pellny2.25117111062LJun 23 · 08:00T. Pellny2.10681121K. Fadeev1.6711118113LJun 23 · 07:30T. Pellny1.95681121K. Fadeev1.7511118113LJun 22 · 16:10T. Pellny1.80131111772M. Stefanidis1.901191311113WJun 22 · 10:30T. Pellny1.731111117113M. Nogami2.0081371172WJun 22 · 08:30T. Pellny1.2812119113A. Ostrovskyi3.501061171WJun 22 · 06:30T. Pellny1.141111139113L. Dreykorn5.0096151182WApr 17 · 10:40D. Rinderer1.8371211952T. Pellny1.831110811113LApr 17 · 09:45G. Alcayde1.831111113T. Pellny1.836970
M. Danzer10
LAug 25 · 11:00V. Yefimov1.46128711113M. Danzer2.55101111762WAug 25 · 09:45M. Danzer1.1812117113E. Huzsvar4.051071161WAug 25 · 07:30M. Henninger6.5011311692M. Danzer1.10911911113LAug 24 · 17:30M. Danzer1.8313781112V. Yefimov1.831111117113WAug 24 · 16:00A. Moreno8.506650M. Danzer1.051111113WAug 24 · 14:00P. Koloidenko8.001111181M. Danzer1.0611139113WAug 24 · 12:00M. Danzer—11117113E. Huzsvar—481191WAug 24 · 09:30M. Danzer1.031111113M. Kupfer10.004860WAug 24 · 08:00M. Danzer1.041111113J. Willeke8.107860WJun 23 · 09:15M. Danzer1.57611812113T. Pellny2.25117111062
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.