TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12088199
Played Jun 23Finished
Matthias Danzer
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
6111178111210116
Thomas Pellny
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingMatthias Danzer above · Thomas Pellny below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 93 set 5, 11-6
93 points played in total.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Danzer)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Danzer form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDanzer 1.57 / Pellny 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Danzer)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12088199
Danzer1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Pellny2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricDanzerPellnyBasisWin rate · lifetime211 / 293 vs 19 / 2972%65.5%211 / 293 vs 19 / 29Avg sets wonper match2.52.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.339.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanzerDanzer 1.57/Pellny 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Danzer · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Danzer won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Danzer10
LAug 25 · 11:00V. Yefimov1.46128711113M. Danzer2.55101111762WAug 25 · 09:45M. Danzer1.1812117113E. Huzsvar4.051071161WAug 25 · 07:30M. Henninger6.5011311692M. Danzer1.10911911113LAug 24 · 17:30M. Danzer1.8313781112V. Yefimov1.831111117113WAug 24 · 16:00A. Moreno8.506650M. Danzer1.051111113WAug 24 · 14:00P. Koloidenko8.001111181M. Danzer1.0611139113WAug 24 · 12:00M. Danzer—11117113E. Huzsvar—481191WAug 24 · 09:30M. Danzer1.031111113M. Kupfer10.004860WAug 24 · 08:00M. Danzer1.041111113J. Willeke8.107860WAug 21 · 11:00M. Danzer1.251111163N. Kizakisz3.4066140
T. Pellny10
LJun 23 · 10:44M. Stefanidis1.751111113T. Pellny1.959660LJun 23 · 08:00T. Pellny2.10681121K. Fadeev1.6711118113LJun 23 · 07:30T. Pellny1.95681121K. Fadeev1.7511118113LJun 22 · 16:10T. Pellny1.80131111772M. Stefanidis1.901191311113WJun 22 · 14:00T. Pellny4.33511119113M. Danzer1.2011861182WJun 22 · 10:30T. Pellny1.731111117113M. Nogami2.0081371172WJun 22 · 08:30T. Pellny1.2812119113A. Ostrovskyi3.501061171WJun 22 · 06:30T. Pellny1.141111139113L. Dreykorn5.0096151182WApr 17 · 10:40D. Rinderer1.8371211952T. Pellny1.831110811113LApr 17 · 09:45G. Alcayde1.831111113T. Pellny1.836970
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