TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #11758936
Played Apr 17Finished
Daniel Rinderer
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111210118911511
Thomas Pellny
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingDaniel Rinderer above · Thomas Pellny below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 95 set 5, 5-11
95 points played in total.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rinderer)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rinderer form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRinderer 1.83 / Pellny 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Rinderer)+4.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #11758936
The market does not separate these two
1.83 against 1.83 — a coin flip with a margin on top.
Below 3pp of separation the engine pins the read to 50 ± 4 and then drops the pick. So no percentage is published here — the price is the datum.
Rinderer1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
100%takes the first set · 10 of 10
Pellny1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricRindererPellnyBasisWin rate · lifetime122 / 184 vs 14 / 2366.3%60.9%122 / 184 vs 14 / 23Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RindererRinderer 1.83/Pellny 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Rinderer · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pellny won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Rinderer10
WAug 21 · 10:30D. Rinderer1.37111210113S. Almeida2.854101261LAug 21 · 09:10M. Danzer1.301112173D. Rinderer3.10610150WAug 21 · 07:50E. Huzsvar1.191114101142D. Rinderer4.40316128113LAug 21 · 07:00D. Rinderer1.1611129872N. Kizakisz4.454101111113WAug 20 · 15:30A. Moreno15.009510D. Rinderer1.011111113LAug 20 · 13:30M. Danzer1.731111113D. Rinderer2.006890WAug 20 · 12:00L. Qiu3.406530D. Rinderer1.301111113WAug 20 · 09:00D. Zech11.006430D. Rinderer1.021111113LAug 20 · 07:00S. Almeida3.60811711123D. Rinderer1.25117115102WJul 24 · 11:15D. Rinderer1.201111113L. Kraus4.009680
T. Pellny10
LJun 23 · 10:44M. Stefanidis1.751111113T. Pellny1.959660LJun 23 · 09:15M. Danzer1.57611812113T. Pellny2.25117111062LJun 23 · 08:00T. Pellny2.10681121K. Fadeev1.6711118113LJun 23 · 07:30T. Pellny1.95681121K. Fadeev1.7511118113LJun 22 · 16:10T. Pellny1.80131111772M. Stefanidis1.901191311113WJun 22 · 14:00T. Pellny4.33511119113M. Danzer1.2011861182WJun 22 · 10:30T. Pellny1.731111117113M. Nogami2.0081371172WJun 22 · 08:30T. Pellny1.2812119113A. Ostrovskyi3.501061171WJun 22 · 06:30T. Pellny1.141111139113L. Dreykorn5.0096151182LApr 17 · 09:45G. Alcayde1.831111113T. Pellny1.836970
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