TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #13105036
Played Sep 10Finished
Thomas Pellny
Home
1.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118119116––––
Samuel Amann
Away
6.50
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:52 and never touched — 56.3% is still 56.3%
Graded at full timeThomas Pellny to win
56.3%
56.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingThomas Pellny above · Samuel Amann below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 56 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Thomas Pellny at 56.3%
56 points played in total.
H2H Thomas Pellny 1–0 Samuel Amann Samuel Amann has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:52What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.10 (86%)
Pellny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Pellny 1640 vs Amann 1117
Pellny
Correct
both rated, 523 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pellny 60% vs Amann 0%
Pellny
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pellny 40% vs Amann 0%
Pellny
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pellny -1 · Amann -5
Amann
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Pellny) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Amann form (0%) is below what odds imply (15%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPellny 1.10 / Amann 6.50
Signal prob.86% / 15%
Edge (Pellny)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #13105036
Pellny1.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
56%takes the first set · 5 of 9
Amann6.50
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest22%takes the first set · 2 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePellny1wins
AwayAmann0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderPellny leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPellnyAmannP − ABasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match45.043.0+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPellnyAmannBasisWin rate · lifetime13 / 22 vs 9 / 5859.1%15.5%13 / 22 vs 9 / 58Avg sets wonper match2.00.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.928.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PellnyPellny 1.10/Amann 6.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.5%
Pellny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pellny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 21 · 07:00T. Pellny—841111113S. Amann—11115792
T. Pellny10
LSep 10 · 12:30T. Pellny1.142D. Zech5.003WSep 10 · 11:00T. Pellny1.331110118143M. Bott3.25512611122WSep 10 · 08:30D. Cheaib1.17150T. Pellny4.50171WSep 10 · 07:00T. Pellny1.66111111113M. Stefanidis2.05813841LJun 23 · 10:44M. Stefanidis1.751111113T. Pellny1.959660LJun 23 · 09:15M. Danzer1.57611812113T. Pellny2.25117111062LJun 23 · 08:00T. Pellny2.10681121K. Fadeev1.6711118113LJun 23 · 07:30T. Pellny1.95681121K. Fadeev1.7511118113LJun 22 · 16:10T. Pellny1.80131111772M. Stefanidis1.901191311113WJun 22 · 14:00T. Pellny4.33511119113M. Danzer1.2011861182
S. Amann10
LSep 10 · 14:00D. Cheaib1.011111113S. Amann12.007630LSep 10 · 12:00S. Amann1.78116891M. Stefanidis1.9481111113LSep 10 · 09:30S. Amann8.000M. Henninger1.063LSep 10 · 08:00S. Amann2.751341181K. Moosmann1.4015118113LSep 1 · 06:30S. Almeida—1111113S. Amann—9630LAug 31 · 16:30M. Henninger1.0811911113S. Amann7.00511431LAug 31 · 15:00A. Limonov1.041111113S. Amann9.002860LAug 31 · 13:30S. Amann8.504740K. Fadeev1.05111183LAug 31 · 11:30S. Amann8.007860K. Zimmermann1.061111113LAug 31 · 10:30S. Amann2.10118771M. Stefanidis1.6651111113
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