TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #13105045
Played Sep 10Finished
Samuel Amann
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1315411118811––
Kai Moosmann
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:57 and never touched — 57.5% is still 57.5%
Graded at full timeKai Moosmann to win
57.5%
57.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSamuel Amann above · Kai Moosmann below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 81 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Kai Moosmann at 57.5%
81 points played in total.
H2H Samuel Amann 0–1 Kai Moosmann Samuel Amann has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:57What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Moosmann
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Amann 1123 vs Moosmann 1273
Moosmann
Correct
both rated, 151 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Amann 0% vs Moosmann 20%
Moosmann
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Amann 20% vs Moosmann 10%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Amann -5 · Moosmann +1
Amann
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Moosmann) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moosmann form (20%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAmann 2.75 / Moosmann 1.40
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Moosmann)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #13105045
Amann2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Moosmann1.40
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeAmann0wins
AwayMoosmann1wins
Moosmann leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricAmannMoosmannA − MBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match36.045.0−9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAmannMoosmannBasisWin rate · lifetime9 / 55 vs 10 / 4416.4%22.7%9 / 55 vs 10 / 44Avg sets wonper match1.01.2per matchAvg pointsper match29.229.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoosmannAmann 2.75/Moosmann 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Moosmann · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Moosmann won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 10 · 08:00S. Amann—1341181K. Moosmann—15118113
S. Amann10
LSep 1 · 06:30S. Almeida—1111113S. Amann—9630LAug 31 · 16:30M. Henninger1.0811911113S. Amann7.00511431LAug 31 · 15:00A. Limonov1.041111113S. Amann9.002860LAug 31 · 13:30S. Amann8.504740K. Fadeev1.05111183LAug 31 · 11:30S. Amann8.007860K. Zimmermann1.061111113LAug 31 · 10:30S. Amann2.10118771M. Stefanidis1.6651111113WAug 31 · 08:00M. Gremillion1.3611341362S. Amann3.008111111113LAug 11 · 06:30J. Willeke1.201111113S. Amann4.334870LAug 10 · 14:00M. Stefanidis1.3211611113S. Amann3.00811891WAug 10 · 13:00J. Grauer2.00811471S. Amann1.7311811113
K. Moosmann10
WJul 28 · 06:30S. Happek1.201011101192K. Moosmann4.33125122113LJul 27 · 16:30N. Kizakisz—71111113K. Moosmann—115491LJul 27 · 15:00K. Zimmermann1.52591111113K. Moosmann2.2711118582LJul 27 · 15:00K. Zimmermann1.20591111113K. Moosmann4.3311118582LJul 27 · 13:30K. Moosmann8.001311451K. Fadeev1.0615911113LJul 27 · 11:30K. Moosmann7.50631151O. Kosolosky1.0711117113LJul 27 · 10:00K. Moosmann2.20911126122M. Fuchs1.611171011143LJul 27 · 08:00J. Loffler1.32111211113K. Moosmann3.00514571LDec 19 · 09:30R. Turrini1.021112113K. Moosmann11.0091080LDec 18 · 16:00M. Scharrer1.251111113K. Moosmann3.757570
Upcoming Matches
S. Amann
K. Moosmann1 of 5 neutral
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