TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12307473
Played Jul 27Finished
Kai Zimmermann
Home
1.52
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–1Last 4Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
511911118115118
Kai Moosmann
Away
2.27
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:27 and never touched — 50.0% is still 50.0%
Final score unavailable — not graded hereEven read — no favourite
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Pick
NoneHow it is goingKai Zimmermann above · Kai Moosmann below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 90 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Kai Zimmermann at 50.0%
90 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:27What took a side3 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.52 (60%)
Zimmermann
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Zimmermann 75% vs Moosmann 0%
Zimmermann
Correct
75pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zimmermann 75% vs Moosmann 20%
Zimmermann
Correct
55pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zimmermann -1 · Moosmann -5
Moosmann
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Zimmermann) · live re-read · sealed at 50% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moosmann form (0%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZimmermann 1.52 / Moosmann 2.27
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Zimmermann)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12307473
Zimmermann1.52
75%won 3 of 4 · last 10
oldest → newest
100%takes the first set · 4 of 4
Moosmann2.27
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricZimmermannMoosmannBasisWin rate · lifetime3 / 4 vs 11 / 4275%26.2%3 / 4 vs 11 / 42Avg sets wonper match2.81.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
ZimmermannZimmermann 1.52/Moosmann 2.27
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.9%
Zimmermann · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zimmermann won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
K. Zimmermann7
WAug 4 · 10:50K. Zimmermann1.0571111113M. Nogami8.50116931LJul 28 · 08:00K. Zimmermann2.25118921K. Fadeev1.5791111113LJul 27 · 17:00K. Zimmermann6.40113471O. Kosolosky1.0681111113LJul 27 · 14:00K. Zimmermann—11961182J. Loffler—911114113WJul 27 · 10:30K. Zimmermann—11116113N. Kizakisz—451191WJul 27 · 08:30K. Zimmermann1.551111113S. Happek2.156440WJul 27 · 06:30K. Zimmermann1.961212113M. Fuchs1.70101020
K. Moosmann10
WJul 28 · 06:30S. Happek1.201011101192K. Moosmann4.33125122113LJul 27 · 16:30N. Kizakisz—71111113K. Moosmann—115491LJul 27 · 15:00K. Zimmermann1.20591111113K. Moosmann4.3311118582LJul 27 · 13:30K. Moosmann8.001311451K. Fadeev1.0615911113LJul 27 · 11:30K. Moosmann7.50631151O. Kosolosky1.0711117113LJul 27 · 10:00K. Moosmann2.20911126122M. Fuchs1.611171011143LJul 27 · 08:00J. Loffler1.32111211113K. Moosmann3.00514571LDec 19 · 09:30R. Turrini1.021112113K. Moosmann11.0091080LDec 18 · 16:00M. Scharrer1.251111113K. Moosmann3.757570WDec 18 · 14:00K. Moosmann1.131111113J. Grauer5.505580
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