TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12307476
Played Jul 27Finished
Kai Zimmermann
Home
1.55
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–0Last 1Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116114114––––
Sven Happek
Away
2.15
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:27 and never touched — 50.0% is still 50.0%
Final score unavailable — not graded hereEven read — no favourite
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Pick
NoneHow it is goingKai Zimmermann above · Sven Happek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 47 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Kai Zimmermann at 50.0%
47 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:27What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.55 (58%)
Zimmermann
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Zimmermann 100% vs Happek 20%
Zimmermann
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zimmermann 100% vs Happek 10%
Zimmermann
Correct
90pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zimmermann +1 · Happek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Zimmermann) · live re-read · sealed at 50% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Happek form (20%) is below what odds imply (47%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZimmermann 1.55 / Happek 2.15
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Zimmermann)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12307476
Zimmermann1.55
100%won 1 of 1 · last 10
oldest → newest
100%takes the first set · 1 of 1
Happek2.15
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricZimmermannHappekBasisWin rate · lifetime1 / 1 vs 51 / 163100%31.3%1 / 1 vs 51 / 163Avg sets wonper match3.01.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
ZimmermannZimmermann 1.55/Happek 2.15
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Zimmermann · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zimmermann won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
K. Zimmermann7
WAug 4 · 10:50K. Zimmermann1.0571111113M. Nogami8.50116931LJul 28 · 08:00K. Zimmermann2.25118921K. Fadeev1.5791111113LJul 27 · 17:00K. Zimmermann6.40113471O. Kosolosky1.0681111113WJul 27 · 15:00K. Zimmermann1.52591111113K. Moosmann2.2711118582LJul 27 · 14:00K. Zimmermann—11961182J. Loffler—911114113WJul 27 · 10:30K. Zimmermann—11116113N. Kizakisz—451191WJul 27 · 06:30K. Zimmermann1.961212113M. Fuchs1.70101020
S. Happek10
LAug 7 · 07:30D. Zech1.831111113S. Happek1.839270WAug 6 · 17:30S. Happek1.803111110113T. Freund1.9111631272LAug 6 · 16:00A. Mino1.0481111113S. Happek9.00115431LAug 6 · 14:00K. Fadeev1.071111113S. Happek7.507970LAug 6 · 12:00S. Happek4.005940K. Zimmermann1.221111113LAug 6 · 09:30S. Happek—771161T. Saltzer—11116113LAug 6 · 08:00S. Happek2.50681181L. Kraus1.5011119113LJul 28 · 08:30S. Happek8.503570O. Kosolosky1.051111113LJul 28 · 06:30S. Happek1.201011101192K. Moosmann4.33125122113LJul 27 · 16:00S. Happek—611571J. Loffler—11811113
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