TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12304348
Played Jul 27Finished
Jeromy Loffler
Home
1.32
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1151214115117––
Kai Moosmann
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:36 and never touched — 55.6% is still 55.6%
Graded at full timeJeromy Loffler to win
55.6%
55.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
1151214115117––
H2H Jeromy Loffler 0–1 Kai Moosmann Jeromy Loffler has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:36What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.32 (69%)
Loffler
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Loffler 1725 vs Moosmann 1299
Loffler
Correct
both rated, 427 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Loffler 40% vs Moosmann 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Loffler 70% vs Moosmann 20%
Loffler
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Loffler -1 · Moosmann -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Loffler) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Loffler form (40%) is below what odds imply (76%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLoffler 1.32 / Moosmann 3.00
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Loffler)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12304348
Loffler1.32
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Moosmann3.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeLoffler0wins
AwayMoosmann1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderMoosmann leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricLofflerMoosmannL − MBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match45.048.0−3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLofflerMoosmannBasisWin rate · lifetime62 / 116 vs 11 / 4253.5%26.2%62 / 116 vs 11 / 42Avg sets wonper match2.01.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.029.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LofflerLoffler 1.32/Moosmann 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.4%
Loffler · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Loffler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 22 · 13:00J. Loffler—96111182K. Moosmann—111187113
J. Loffler10
LAug 4 · 07:30M. Nogami7.2581111113J. Loffler1.05116771LAug 3 · 17:30J. Loffler—118621M. Neumaier—91111113WAug 3 · 16:00J. Willeke—631291J. Loffler—111110113WAug 3 · 14:00K. Zimmermann2.6012118141J. Loffler1.4214211163WAug 3 · 12:00J. Loffler—1111113L. Hubner—5860LAug 3 · 09:30J. Loffler2.357380A. Mino1.501111113WAug 3 · 08:00J. Loffler1.27811911113L. Kraus3.2511311692LJul 28 · 11:00O. Kosolosky1.221111113J. Loffler3.804620WJul 28 · 09:45J. Loffler1.321111113K. Zimmermann3.006770WJul 28 · 07:30N. Kizakisz6.256640J. Loffler1.081111113
K. Moosmann10
WJul 28 · 06:30S. Happek1.201011101192K. Moosmann4.33125122113LJul 27 · 16:30N. Kizakisz—71111113K. Moosmann—115491LJul 27 · 15:00K. Zimmermann1.52591111113K. Moosmann2.2711118582LJul 27 · 15:00K. Zimmermann1.20591111113K. Moosmann4.3311118582LJul 27 · 13:30K. Moosmann8.001311451K. Fadeev1.0615911113LJul 27 · 11:30K. Moosmann7.50631151O. Kosolosky1.0711117113LJul 27 · 10:00K. Moosmann2.20911126122M. Fuchs1.611171011143LDec 19 · 09:30R. Turrini1.021112113K. Moosmann11.0091080LDec 18 · 16:00M. Scharrer1.251111113K. Moosmann3.757570WDec 18 · 14:00K. Moosmann1.131111113J. Grauer5.505580
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