TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12354354
Played Aug 3Finished
Karl Zimmermann
Home
2.60
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
12141128111416––
Jeromy Loffler
Away
1.42
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:35 and never touched — 55.4% is still 55.4%
Graded at full timeJeromy Loffler to win
55.4%
55.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
88 points played in total.
Set by set
12141128111416––
H2H Karl Zimmermann 0–1 Jeromy Loffler Karl Zimmermann has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:35What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.42 (65%)
Loffler
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Zimmermann 1524 vs Loffler 1745
Loffler
Correct
both rated, 222 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zimmermann 60% vs Loffler 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zimmermann 60% vs Loffler 80%
Loffler
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zimmermann +2 · Loffler +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Loffler) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Loffler form (60%) is below what odds imply (70%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZimmermann 2.60 / Loffler 1.42
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Loffler)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12354354
Zimmermann2.60
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Loffler1.42
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeZimmermann0wins
AwayLoffler1wins
Loffler leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricZimmermannLofflerZ − LBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match20.033.0−13.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZimmermannLofflerBasisWin rate · lifetime12 / 23 vs 71 / 12852.2%55.5%12 / 23 vs 71 / 128Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match33.635.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LofflerZimmermann 2.60/Loffler 1.42
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.7%
Loffler · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Loffler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJul 28 · 09:45K. Zimmermann—6770J. Loffler—1111113
K. Zimmermann10
LSep 1 · 11:00K. Fadeev2.003121110113K. Zimmermann1.70111011272LSep 1 · 10:25K. Zimmermann2.107630M. Henninger1.671111113WSep 1 · 08:30S. Almeida—119111172K. Zimmermann—131199113LAug 31 · 17:00A. Limonov1.3011119113K. Zimmermann3.40691151LAug 31 · 15:30K. Zimmermann2.6311115282K. Fadeev1.44361111113WAug 31 · 13:00K. Zimmermann—11118113M. Stefanidis—661161WAug 31 · 11:30S. Amann8.007860K. Zimmermann1.061111113WAug 31 · 09:30M. Gremillion3.75441151K. Zimmermann1.2511115113WAug 31 · 07:30M. Henninger1.80613181K. Zimmermann1.91111111113LAug 7 · 11:00A. Mino1.08117611113K. Zimmermann5.4061111622
J. Loffler10
LAug 4 · 07:30M. Nogami7.2581111113J. Loffler1.05116771LAug 3 · 17:30J. Loffler—118621M. Neumaier—91111113WAug 3 · 16:00J. Willeke—631291J. Loffler—111110113WAug 3 · 12:00J. Loffler—1111113L. Hubner—5860LAug 3 · 09:30J. Loffler2.357380A. Mino1.501111113WAug 3 · 08:00J. Loffler1.27811911113L. Kraus3.2511311692LJul 28 · 11:00O. Kosolosky1.221111113J. Loffler3.804620WJul 28 · 09:45J. Loffler1.321111113K. Zimmermann3.006770WJul 28 · 07:30N. Kizakisz6.256640J. Loffler1.081111113WJul 27 · 17:30J. Loffler1.22111111113M. Fuchs3.75571381
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