Jeromy Loffler vs Luis Kraus 3-2 — Challenger Series TT

TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT

Challenger Series TTMatch #12354521

Played Aug 3Finished

Jeromy Loffler

Home

1.27

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

811113911116119

Luis Kraus

Away

3.25

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 3

The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:05 and never touched — 72.8% is still 72.8%

Graded at full time

Jeromy Loffler to win

72.8%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

no pick shipped

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is going

Point-by-point unavailable

BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.

90 points played in total.

Set by set

811113911116119

H2H Jeromy Loffler 3–1 Luis Kraus Luis Kraus has won 1 of their 4 meetings.

Last 4 · 3–1Same sideHead to head

The pickNo pick published

Sealed 08:05

What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.27 (72%)

Loffler

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

3-1 in 4

Loffler

Correct

gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Loffler 1754 vs Kraus 1538

Loffler

Correct

both rated, 217 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Loffler 80% vs Kraus 40%

Loffler

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Loffler 70% vs Kraus 50%

Loffler

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Loffler -1 · Kraus -3

Kraus

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Loffler) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsLoffler 1.27 / Kraus 3.25

Signal prob.72% / 28%

Edge (Loffler)-0.0pp

Challenger Series TT · #12354521

Loffler1.27

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

Kraus3.25

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 4 meetings

HomeLoffler3wins

AwayKraus1wins

1 of 4 to a deciderLoffler leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

Not enough first sets

Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.

Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Loffler2Kraus2n = 4split evenly

S2Loffler3Kraus1n = 4Loffler took 3 of 4

S3Loffler2Kraus2n = 4split evenly

S4Loffler2Kraus1n = 3Loffler took 2 of 3

Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home125%

3–1Four sets, home125%

3–2Decider, home125%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away125%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 4 meetings

MetricLofflerKrausL − KBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match38.837.0+1.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricLofflerKrausBasisWin rate · lifetime69 / 125 vs 85 / 22755.2%37.4%69 / 125 vs 85 / 227Avg sets wonper match2.11.5per matchAvg pointsper match35.131.2per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Loffler

Loffler 1.27/Kraus 3.25

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

71.9%

Loffler · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Loffler won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record4

LJul 24 · 08:30J. Loffler—811881L. Kraus—11611113

WMay 18 · 12:00J. Loffler—118412113L. Kraus—911111092

WMay 4 · 08:00J. Loffler—81111113L. Kraus—118891

WJan 26 · 08:00J. Loffler—1111113L. Kraus—7880

J. Loffler10

LAug 4 · 07:30M. Nogami7.2581111113J. Loffler1.05116771 LAug 3 · 17:30J. Loffler—118621M. Neumaier—91111113 WAug 3 · 16:00J. Willeke—631291J. Loffler—111110113 WAug 3 · 14:00K. Zimmermann2.6012118141J. Loffler1.4214211163 WAug 3 · 12:00J. Loffler—1111113L. Hubner—5860 LAug 3 · 09:30J. Loffler2.357380A. Mino1.501111113 LJul 28 · 11:00O. Kosolosky1.221111113J. Loffler3.804620 WJul 28 · 09:45J. Loffler1.321111113K. Zimmermann3.006770 WJul 28 · 07:30N. Kizakisz6.256640J. Loffler1.081111113 WJul 27 · 17:30J. Loffler1.22111111113M. Fuchs3.75571381

L. Kraus10

WAug 7 · 10:30L. Kraus6.5011119113K. Fadeev1.10891191 LAug 7 · 09:16A. Mino1.201111113L. Kraus4.008530 LAug 7 · 06:30A. Mino1.171181011113L. Kraus4.5081112822 LAug 6 · 16:30D. Zech3.00811411113L. Kraus1.3611911432 LAug 6 · 15:00K. Fadeev1.14717115133L. Kraus5.001115711112 LAug 6 · 13:30L. Kraus2.5087111152K. Zimmermann1.50111188113 WAug 6 · 11:30L. Kraus2.151161110113T. Saltzer1.6351171272 WAug 6 · 10:00L. Kraus1.251111113T. Freund3.758730 WAug 6 · 08:00S. Happek2.50681181L. Kraus1.5011119113 WAug 4 · 06:30J. Willeke2.63661141L. Kraus1.4411117113

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