TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12305186
Played Jul 28Finished
Nikolaosz Kizakisz
Home
6.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611611411––––
Jeromy Loffler
Away
1.08
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:56 and never touched — 68.5% is still 68.5%
Graded at full timeJeromy Loffler to win
68.5%
68.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
49 points played in total.
Set by set
611611411––––
H2H Nikolaosz Kizakisz 0–2 Jeromy Loffler Nikolaosz Kizakisz has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:56What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.08 (85%)
Loffler
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kizakisz 1233 vs Loffler 1754
Loffler
Correct
both rated, 521 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kizakisz 20% vs Loffler 80%
Loffler
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kizakisz 10% vs Loffler 70%
Loffler
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kizakisz +1 · Loffler +4
Loffler
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 85% — Strong (leans Loffler) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Loffler form (80%) is below what odds imply (93%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKizakisz 6.25 / Loffler 1.08
Signal prob.15% / 85%
Edge (Loffler)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12305186
Kizakisz6.25
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Loffler1.08
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKizakisz0wins
AwayLoffler2wins
Loffler leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away2
These 2 meetings
MetricKizakiszLofflerK − LBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match17.533.5−16.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKizakiszLofflerBasisWin rate · lifetime9 / 43 vs 69 / 12520.9%55.2%9 / 43 vs 69 / 125Avg sets wonper match1.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match29.235.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LofflerKizakisz 6.25/Loffler 1.08
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.3%
Loffler · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Loffler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJul 28 · 07:30N. Kizakisz—6640J. Loffler—1111113
LJul 23 · 13:00N. Kizakisz—45100J. Loffler—1111123
N. Kizakisz10
LAug 21 · 11:00M. Danzer1.251111163N. Kizakisz3.4066140WAug 21 · 09:30S. Almeida1.87115991N. Kizakisz1.8381111113WAug 21 · 07:00D. Rinderer1.1611129872N. Kizakisz4.454101111113WAug 20 · 14:30D. Zech—711551N. Kizakisz—11911113WAug 20 · 13:00A. Moreno—541161N. Kizakisz—11115113WAug 20 · 11:00S. Almeida1.40111181002N. Kizakisz2.65791112113LAug 20 · 10:00M. Danzer—11511113N. Kizakisz—411371LAug 20 · 06:30E. Huzsvar1.0711117113N. Kizakisz6.25581151LAug 14 · 07:00M. Neumaier1.091111113N. Kizakisz5.803120LAug 13 · 17:30L. Qiu—1111113N. Kizakisz—7350
J. Loffler10
LAug 4 · 07:30M. Nogami7.2581111113J. Loffler1.05116771LAug 3 · 17:30J. Loffler—118621M. Neumaier—91111113WAug 3 · 16:00J. Willeke—631291J. Loffler—111110113WAug 3 · 14:00K. Zimmermann2.6012118141J. Loffler1.4214211163WAug 3 · 12:00J. Loffler—1111113L. Hubner—5860LAug 3 · 09:30J. Loffler2.357380A. Mino1.501111113WAug 3 · 08:00J. Loffler1.27811911113L. Kraus3.2511311692LJul 28 · 11:00O. Kosolosky1.221111113J. Loffler3.804620WJul 28 · 09:45J. Loffler1.321111113K. Zimmermann3.006770WJul 27 · 17:30J. Loffler1.22111111113M. Fuchs3.75571381
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