TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12305189
Played Jul 27Finished
Jeromy Loffler
Home
1.22
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1151171113118––
Michael Fuchs
Away
3.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:57 and never touched — 54.4% is still 54.4%
Graded at full timeJeromy Loffler to win
54.4%
54.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
1151171113118––
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:57What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (75%)
Loffler
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Loffler 1749 vs Fuchs 1453
Loffler
Correct
both rated, 296 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Loffler 80% vs Fuchs 60%
Loffler
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Loffler 60% vs Fuchs 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Loffler +3 · Fuchs +1
Loffler
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Loffler) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fuchs form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLoffler 1.22 / Fuchs 3.75
Signal prob.76% / 25%
Edge (Loffler)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12305189
Loffler1.22
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Fuchs3.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricLofflerFuchsBasisWin rate · lifetime66 / 121 vs 10 / 2754.6%37%66 / 121 vs 10 / 27Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match35.235.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
LofflerLoffler 1.22/Fuchs 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.5%
Loffler · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Loffler won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Loffler10
LAug 4 · 07:30M. Nogami7.2581111113J. Loffler1.05116771LAug 3 · 17:30J. Loffler—118621M. Neumaier—91111113WAug 3 · 16:00J. Willeke—631291J. Loffler—111110113WAug 3 · 14:00K. Zimmermann2.6012118141J. Loffler1.4214211163WAug 3 · 12:00J. Loffler—1111113L. Hubner—5860LAug 3 · 09:30J. Loffler2.357380A. Mino1.501111113WAug 3 · 08:00J. Loffler1.27811911113L. Kraus3.2511311692LJul 28 · 11:00O. Kosolosky1.221111113J. Loffler3.804620WJul 28 · 09:45J. Loffler1.321111113K. Zimmermann3.006770WJul 28 · 07:30N. Kizakisz6.256640J. Loffler1.081111113
M. Fuchs10
LJul 28 · 10:35M. Fuchs1.7037100K. Zimmermann2.001111123LJul 28 · 09:15O. Kosolosky—3M. Fuchs—0LJul 28 · 07:00K. Fadeev1.111191011113M. Fuchs6.0051112842WJul 27 · 14:30N. Kizakisz—5450M. Fuchs—1111113LJul 27 · 13:00O. Kosolosky1.07111110113M. Fuchs7.50261261WJul 27 · 11:00S. Happek2.25681141M. Fuchs1.5711118113WJul 27 · 10:00K. Moosmann2.20911126122M. Fuchs1.611171011143LJul 27 · 06:30K. Zimmermann2.001212113M. Fuchs1.73101020LJul 27 · 06:30K. Zimmermann1.961212113M. Fuchs1.70101020LJul 21 · 06:30F. Bluhm1.041111113M. Fuchs9.007630
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