TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12305199
Played Jul 27Finished
Sven Happek
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611811118411––
Michael Fuchs
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:59 and never touched — 71.3% is still 71.3%
Graded at full timeMichael Fuchs to win
71.3%
71.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSven Happek above · Michael Fuchs below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 70 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Michael Fuchs at 71.3%
70 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:59What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Fuchs
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Happek 1199 vs Fuchs 1433
Fuchs
Correct
both rated, 234 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Happek 20% vs Fuchs 40%
Fuchs
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Happek 10% vs Fuchs 30%
Fuchs
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Happek -2 · Fuchs +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Fuchs) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fuchs form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHappek 2.25 / Fuchs 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Fuchs)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12305199
Happek2.25
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Fuchs1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricHappekFuchsBasisWin rate · lifetime51 / 165 vs 8 / 2430.9%33.3%51 / 165 vs 8 / 24Avg sets wonper match1.41.7per matchAvg pointsper match32.135.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FuchsHappek 2.25/Fuchs 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Fuchs · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Fuchs won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
S. Happek10
LAug 7 · 07:30D. Zech1.831111113S. Happek1.839270WAug 6 · 17:30S. Happek1.803111110113T. Freund1.9111631272LAug 6 · 16:00A. Mino1.0481111113S. Happek9.00115431LAug 6 · 14:00K. Fadeev1.071111113S. Happek7.507970LAug 6 · 12:00S. Happek4.005940K. Zimmermann1.221111113LAug 6 · 09:30S. Happek—771161T. Saltzer—11116113LAug 6 · 08:00S. Happek2.50681181L. Kraus1.5011119113LJul 28 · 08:30S. Happek8.503570O. Kosolosky1.051111113LJul 28 · 06:30S. Happek1.201011101192K. Moosmann4.33125122113LJul 27 · 16:00S. Happek—611571J. Loffler—11811113
M. Fuchs10
LJul 28 · 10:35M. Fuchs1.7037100K. Zimmermann2.001111123LJul 28 · 09:15O. Kosolosky—3M. Fuchs—0LJul 28 · 07:00K. Fadeev1.111191011113M. Fuchs6.0051112842LJul 27 · 17:30J. Loffler1.22111111113M. Fuchs3.75571381WJul 27 · 14:30N. Kizakisz—5450M. Fuchs—1111113LJul 27 · 13:00O. Kosolosky1.07111110113M. Fuchs7.50261261WJul 27 · 10:00K. Moosmann2.20911126122M. Fuchs1.611171011143LJul 27 · 06:30K. Zimmermann2.001212113M. Fuchs1.73101020LJul 27 · 06:30K. Zimmermann1.961212113M. Fuchs1.70101020LJul 21 · 06:30F. Bluhm1.041111113M. Fuchs9.007630
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