TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12305195
Played Jul 27Finished
Olav Kosolosky
Home
1.07
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1121161012116––
Michael Fuchs
Away
7.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOlav Kosolosky to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOlav Kosolosky above · Michael Fuchs below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 69 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Olav Kosolosky at 54.0%
69 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:58What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.07 (88%)
Kosolosky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kosolosky 1926 vs Fuchs 1445
Kosolosky
Correct
both rated, 481 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosolosky 80% vs Fuchs 40%
Kosolosky
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosolosky 70% vs Fuchs 40%
Kosolosky
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosolosky +4 · Fuchs +2
Kosolosky
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 88% — Strong (leans Kosolosky) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fuchs form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (13%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosolosky 1.07 / Fuchs 7.50
Signal prob.88% / 13%
Edge (Kosolosky)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12305195
Kosolosky1.07
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Fuchs7.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosoloskyFuchsBasisWin rate · lifetime49 / 67 vs 9 / 2573.1%36%49 / 67 vs 9 / 25Avg sets wonper match2.51.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.935.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosoloskyKosolosky 1.07/Fuchs 7.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
87.5%
Kosolosky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kosolosky won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
O. Kosolosky10
WAug 30 · 14:15O. Kosolosky—11117113F. Rakotoarimanana—791181WAug 29 · 14:30J. Jimenez—5350O. Kosolosky—1111113LAug 28 · 14:18O. Kosolosky1.30521181M. Lovha3.4011119113WAug 14 · 10:59O. Kosolosky2.00671111113D. Cheaib1.7311119352WAug 14 · 09:15O. Kosolosky1.1011711113M. Stefanidis6.00311501WAug 14 · 08:00O. Kosolosky1.1791111113M. Neumaier4.50114671WAug 13 · 17:00O. Kosolosky1.051111113M. Kupfer8.507570WAug 13 · 15:00O. Kosolosky—1111113M. Stefanidis—6550WAug 13 · 14:00O. Kosolosky1.441111113L. Qiu2.636370WAug 13 · 10:30O. Kosolosky1.03118911113D. Zech10.0011111762
M. Fuchs10
LJul 28 · 10:35M. Fuchs1.7037100K. Zimmermann2.001111123LJul 28 · 09:15O. Kosolosky—3M. Fuchs—0LJul 28 · 07:00K. Fadeev1.111191011113M. Fuchs6.0051112842LJul 27 · 17:30J. Loffler1.22111111113M. Fuchs3.75571381WJul 27 · 14:30N. Kizakisz—5450M. Fuchs—1111113WJul 27 · 11:00S. Happek2.25681141M. Fuchs1.5711118113WJul 27 · 10:00K. Moosmann2.20911126122M. Fuchs1.611171011143LJul 27 · 06:30K. Zimmermann2.001212113M. Fuchs1.73101020LJul 27 · 06:30K. Zimmermann1.961212113M. Fuchs1.70101020LJul 21 · 06:30F. Bluhm1.041111113M. Fuchs9.007630
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