TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12265505
Played Jul 21Finished
Florian Bluhm
Home
1.04
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117116113––––
Michael Fuchs
Away
9.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:01 and never touched — 68.5% is still 68.5%
Graded at full timeFlorian Bluhm to win
68.5%
68.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFlorian Bluhm above · Michael Fuchs below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 49 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Florian Bluhm at 68.5%
49 points played in total.
H2H Florian Bluhm 1–0 Michael Fuchs Michael Fuchs has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:01What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.04 (90%)
Bluhm
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Bluhm 1881 vs Fuchs 1472
Bluhm
Correct
both rated, 409 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bluhm 40% vs Fuchs 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bluhm 60% vs Fuchs 30%
Bluhm
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bluhm -1 · Fuchs +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 90% — Strong (leans Bluhm) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fuchs form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (11%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBluhm 1.04 / Fuchs 9.00
Signal prob.90% / 10%
Edge (Bluhm)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12265505
Bluhm1.04
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Fuchs9.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBluhm1wins
AwayFuchs0wins
Bluhm leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBluhmFuchsB − FBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.016.0+17.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBluhmFuchsBasisWin rate · lifetime61 / 77 vs 7 / 2179.2%33.3%61 / 77 vs 7 / 21Avg sets wonper match2.61.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.036.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BluhmBluhm 1.04/Fuchs 9.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
89.6%
Bluhm · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Bluhm won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 21 · 06:30F. Bluhm—1111113M. Fuchs—7630
F. Bluhm10
LJul 21 · 08:30F. Bluhm1.1111108111D. Rinderer6.0091211133LJul 20 · 16:00F. Bluhm1.365530M. Danzer3.001111113WJul 20 · 12:30F. Bluhm1.44111112113D. Pinto2.63691431LJul 20 · 11:00F. Bluhm1.33411891A. Mino3.2511711113WJul 20 · 08:30A. Moreno12.005840F. Bluhm1.011111113LJul 20 · 07:00F. Bluhm—118971M. Stefanidis—51111113LJun 16 · 11:00F. Bluhm1.281171061M. Danzer3.5071112113WJun 16 · 09:15F. Bluhm1.371111113M. Echaveguren2.853450WJun 16 · 06:30M. Danzer3.251511881F. Bluhm1.3317511113WJun 15 · 16:30L. Kraus13.003660F. Bluhm1.011111113
M. Fuchs10
LJul 28 · 10:35M. Fuchs1.7037100K. Zimmermann2.001111123LJul 28 · 09:15O. Kosolosky—3M. Fuchs—0LJul 28 · 07:00K. Fadeev1.111191011113M. Fuchs6.0051112842LJul 27 · 17:30J. Loffler1.22111111113M. Fuchs3.75571381WJul 27 · 14:30N. Kizakisz—5450M. Fuchs—1111113LJul 27 · 13:00O. Kosolosky1.07111110113M. Fuchs7.50261261WJul 27 · 11:00S. Happek2.25681141M. Fuchs1.5711118113WJul 27 · 10:00K. Moosmann2.20911126122M. Fuchs1.611171011143LJul 27 · 06:30K. Zimmermann2.001212113M. Fuchs1.73101020LJul 27 · 06:30K. Zimmermann1.961212113M. Fuchs1.70101020
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