TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12049707
Played Jun 16Finished
Florian Bluhm
Home
1.29
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1177111012611––
Matthias Danzer
Away
3.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingFlorian Bluhm above · Matthias Danzer below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 75 set 4, 6-11
75 points played in total.
H2H Florian Bluhm 7–0 Matthias Danzer Matthias Danzer has won 0 of their 7 meetings.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Bluhm)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Danzer form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBluhm 1.28 / Danzer 3.50
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Bluhm)+4.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12049707
Bluhm1.28
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Danzer3.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeBluhm7wins
AwayDanzer0wins
2 of 7 to a deciderBluhm leads 7–0, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBluhm100%7 of 7
AwayDanzern = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bluhm7Danzer0n = 7Bluhm took 7 of 7
S2Bluhm6Danzer1n = 7Bluhm took 6 of 7
S3Bluhm5Danzer2n = 7Bluhm took 5 of 7
S4Bluhm1Danzer2n = 3Danzer took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home457%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricBluhmDanzerB − DBasisWins70+7in 7 meetingsFirst set70+7of 7Avg pointsper match39.629.7+9.9per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBluhmDanzerBasisWin rate · lifetime149 / 186 vs 204 / 28480.1%71.8%149 / 186 vs 204 / 284Avg sets wonper match2.62.5per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BluhmBluhm 1.28/Danzer 3.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
77.1%
Bluhm · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Danzer won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WJun 16 · 06:30F. Bluhm—17511113M. Danzer—1511881
WMay 7 · 17:30F. Bluhm—1111113M. Danzer—3940
WJan 12 · 11:00F. Bluhm—1111410113M. Danzer—86111282
WJun 2 · 07:00F. Bluhm—1111113M. Danzer—7750
WMay 13 · 07:00F. Bluhm—1111113M. Danzer—5810
WMar 11 · 10:45F. Bluhm—11121010113M. Danzer—710121242
WMar 10 · 10:30F. Bluhm—1111113M. Danzer—9990
F. Bluhm10
LJul 21 · 08:30F. Bluhm1.1111108111D. Rinderer6.0091211133WJul 21 · 06:30F. Bluhm1.041111113M. Fuchs9.007630LJul 20 · 16:00F. Bluhm1.365530M. Danzer3.001111113WJul 20 · 12:30F. Bluhm1.44111112113D. Pinto2.63691431LJul 20 · 11:00F. Bluhm1.33411891A. Mino3.2511711113WJul 20 · 08:30A. Moreno12.005840F. Bluhm1.011111113LJul 20 · 07:00F. Bluhm—118971M. Stefanidis—51111113WJun 16 · 09:15F. Bluhm1.371111113M. Echaveguren2.853450WJun 16 · 06:30M. Danzer3.251511881F. Bluhm1.3317511113WJun 15 · 16:30L. Kraus13.003660F. Bluhm1.011111113
M. Danzer10
LAug 25 · 11:00V. Yefimov1.46128711113M. Danzer2.55101111762WAug 25 · 09:45M. Danzer1.1812117113E. Huzsvar4.051071161WAug 25 · 07:30M. Henninger6.5011311692M. Danzer1.10911911113LAug 24 · 17:30M. Danzer1.8313781112V. Yefimov1.831111117113WAug 24 · 16:00A. Moreno8.506650M. Danzer1.051111113WAug 24 · 14:00P. Koloidenko8.001111181M. Danzer1.0611139113WAug 24 · 12:00M. Danzer—11117113E. Huzsvar—481191WAug 24 · 09:30M. Danzer1.031111113M. Kupfer10.004860WJul 20 · 16:00F. Bluhm1.365530M. Danzer3.001111113LJun 16 · 06:30M. Danzer3.251511881F. Bluhm1.3317511113
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