TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12041684
Played Jun 16Finished
Matthias Danzer
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1517115811811––
Florian Bluhm
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
How it is goingMatthias Danzer above · Florian Bluhm below
Set 1 · 15-17
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 86 set 4, 8-11
86 points played in total.
H2H Matthias Danzer 1–7 Florian Bluhm Matthias Danzer has won 1 of their 8 meetings.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Bluhm)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bluhm form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDanzer 3.25 / Bluhm 1.33
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Bluhm)+4.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12041684
Danzer3.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Bluhm1.33
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeDanzer1wins
AwayBluhm7wins
2 of 8 to a deciderBluhm leads 7–1, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDanzern = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayBluhm87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Danzer0Bluhm8n = 8Bluhm took 8 of 8
S2Danzer2Bluhm6n = 8Bluhm took 6 of 8
S3Danzer3Bluhm5n = 8Bluhm took 5 of 8
S4Danzer3Bluhm1n = 4Danzer took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away450%
These 8 meetings
MetricDanzerBluhmD − BBasisWins17−6in 8 meetingsFirst set08−8of 8Avg pointsper match31.138.9−7.8per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDanzerBluhmBasisWin rate · lifetime205 / 285 vs 150 / 18871.9%79.8%205 / 285 vs 150 / 188Avg sets wonper match2.52.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BluhmDanzer 3.25/Bluhm 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.9%
Bluhm · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Bluhm won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WJun 16 · 11:00M. Danzer—71112113F. Bluhm—1171061
LJun 16 · 06:30M. Danzer—1511881F. Bluhm—17511113
LMay 7 · 17:30M. Danzer—3940F. Bluhm—1111113
LJan 12 · 11:00M. Danzer—86111282F. Bluhm—1111410113
LJun 2 · 07:00M. Danzer—7750F. Bluhm—1111113
LMay 13 · 07:00M. Danzer—5810F. Bluhm—1111113
LMar 11 · 10:45M. Danzer—710121242F. Bluhm—11121010113
LMar 10 · 10:30M. Danzer—9990F. Bluhm—1111113
M. Danzer10
LAug 25 · 11:00V. Yefimov1.46128711113M. Danzer2.55101111762WAug 25 · 09:45M. Danzer1.1812117113E. Huzsvar4.051071161WAug 25 · 07:30M. Henninger6.5011311692M. Danzer1.10911911113LAug 24 · 17:30M. Danzer1.8313781112V. Yefimov1.831111117113WAug 24 · 16:00A. Moreno8.506650M. Danzer1.051111113WAug 24 · 14:00P. Koloidenko8.001111181M. Danzer1.0611139113WAug 24 · 12:00M. Danzer—11117113E. Huzsvar—481191WAug 24 · 09:30M. Danzer1.031111113M. Kupfer10.004860WAug 24 · 08:00M. Danzer1.041111113J. Willeke8.107860WAug 21 · 11:00M. Danzer1.251111163N. Kizakisz3.4066140
F. Bluhm10
LJul 21 · 08:30F. Bluhm1.1111108111D. Rinderer6.0091211133WJul 21 · 06:30F. Bluhm1.041111113M. Fuchs9.007630LJul 20 · 16:00F. Bluhm1.365530M. Danzer3.001111113WJul 20 · 12:30F. Bluhm1.44111112113D. Pinto2.63691431LJul 20 · 11:00F. Bluhm1.33411891A. Mino3.2511711113WJul 20 · 08:30A. Moreno12.005840F. Bluhm1.011111113LJul 20 · 07:00F. Bluhm—118971M. Stefanidis—51111113LJun 16 · 11:00F. Bluhm1.281171061M. Danzer3.5071112113WJun 16 · 09:15F. Bluhm1.371111113M. Echaveguren2.853450WJun 15 · 16:30L. Kraus13.003660F. Bluhm1.011111113
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