TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #13105039
Played Sep 10Finished
Dauud Cheaib
Home
1.02
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117116113––––
Samuel Amann
Away
12.00
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:53 and never touched — 77.2% is still 77.2%
Graded at full timeDauud Cheaib to win
77.2%
77.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDauud Cheaib above · Samuel Amann below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 49 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Dauud Cheaib at 77.2%
49 points played in total.
H2H Dauud Cheaib 2–0 Samuel Amann Samuel Amann has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:53What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.01 (92%)
Cheaib
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Cheaib 1959 vs Amann 1117
Cheaib
Correct
both rated, 842 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cheaib 60% vs Amann 0%
Cheaib
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cheaib 80% vs Amann 10%
Cheaib
Correct
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cheaib +1 · Amann -5
Amann
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 92% — Strong (leans Cheaib) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cheaib form (60%) is below what odds imply (99%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCheaib 1.01 / Amann 12.00
Signal prob.92% / 8%
Edge (Cheaib)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #13105039
Cheaib1.01
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Amann12.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest22%takes the first set · 2 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeCheaib2wins
AwayAmann0wins
Cheaib leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricCheaibAmannC − ABasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match38.021.5+16.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCheaibAmannBasisWin rate · lifetime70 / 87 vs 9 / 5780.5%15.8%70 / 87 vs 9 / 57Avg sets wonper match2.61.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.028.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CheaibCheaib 1.01/Amann 12.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
92.2%
Cheaib · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Cheaib won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 25 · 16:00D. Cheaib—101111113S. Amann—123551
WAug 18 · 10:00D. Cheaib—1111113S. Amann—7560
D. Cheaib10
WSep 10 · 15:00D. Cheaib1.071111113K. Moosmann7.506470WSep 10 · 10:30D. Cheaib1.0211711113D. Zech10.50711331LSep 10 · 08:30D. Cheaib1.17150T. Pellny4.50171WSep 10 · 06:30D. Cheaib1.0711811113M. Bott7.50811671LAug 14 · 10:59O. Kosolosky2.00671111113D. Cheaib1.7311119352WAug 14 · 09:45D. Cheaib1.051111133M. Neumaier8.0096110WAug 14 · 09:45D. Cheaib1.061111133M. Neumaier8.0096110WAug 14 · 08:30D. Cheaib1.0211117113M. Kupfer10.50821171WAug 14 · 06:30D. Cheaib1.601111113M. Stefanidis2.102750WAug 13 · 16:00D. Cheaib1.331110119113L. Qiu3.2551241192
S. Amann10
LSep 10 · 12:00S. Amann1.78116891M. Stefanidis1.9481111113LSep 10 · 09:30S. Amann8.000M. Henninger1.063LSep 10 · 08:00S. Amann2.751341181K. Moosmann1.4015118113LSep 1 · 06:30S. Almeida—1111113S. Amann—9630LAug 31 · 16:30M. Henninger1.0811911113S. Amann7.00511431LAug 31 · 15:00A. Limonov1.041111113S. Amann9.002860LAug 31 · 13:30S. Amann8.504740K. Fadeev1.05111183LAug 31 · 11:30S. Amann8.007860K. Zimmermann1.061111113LAug 31 · 10:30S. Amann2.10118771M. Stefanidis1.6651111113WAug 31 · 08:00M. Gremillion1.3611341362S. Amann3.008111111113
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