TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #13101132
Played Sep 10Finished
Samuel Amann
Home
8.00
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
––––––––––
Marius Henninger
Away
1.06
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:18 and never touched — 77.2% is still 77.2%
Graded at full timeMarius Henninger to win
77.2%
77.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
H2H Samuel Amann 0–2 Marius Henninger Samuel Amann has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:18What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.06 (88%)
Henninger
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Amann 1123 vs Henninger 1740
Henninger
Correct
both rated, 617 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Amann 0% vs Henninger 80%
Henninger
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Amann 10% vs Henninger 80%
Henninger
Correct
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Amann -5 · Henninger +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 88% — Strong (leans Henninger) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Henninger form (80%) is below what odds imply (94%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAmann 8.00 / Henninger 1.06
Signal prob.12% / 88%
Edge (Henninger)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #13101132
Amann8.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Henninger1.06
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeAmann0wins
AwayHenninger2wins
Henninger leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricAmannHenningerA − HBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match22.038.5−16.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAmannHenningerBasisWin rate · lifetime9 / 55 vs 58 / 10516.4%55.2%9 / 55 vs 58 / 105Avg sets wonper match1.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match29.235.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HenningerAmann 8.00/Henninger 1.06
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
88.3%
Henninger · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Henninger won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 31 · 16:30S. Amann—511431M. Henninger—11911113
LAug 18 · 14:30S. Amann—64110M. Henninger—1111133
S. Amann10
LSep 10 · 08:00S. Amann2.751341181K. Moosmann1.4015118113LSep 1 · 06:30S. Almeida—1111113S. Amann—9630LAug 31 · 16:30M. Henninger1.0811911113S. Amann7.00511431LAug 31 · 15:00A. Limonov1.041111113S. Amann9.002860LAug 31 · 13:30S. Amann8.504740K. Fadeev1.05111183LAug 31 · 11:30S. Amann8.007860K. Zimmermann1.061111113LAug 31 · 10:30S. Amann2.10118771M. Stefanidis1.6651111113WAug 31 · 08:00M. Gremillion1.3611341362S. Amann3.008111111113LAug 11 · 06:30J. Willeke1.201111113S. Amann4.334870LAug 10 · 14:00M. Stefanidis1.3211611113S. Amann3.00811891
M. Henninger10
WSep 10 · 11:30K. Moosmann6.5010770M. Henninger1.101211113WSep 10 · 07:30D. Zech7.003890M. Henninger1.081111113WSep 8 · 11:00V. Senkbeil2.00119581M. Henninger1.7371111113WSep 8 · 09:45M. Henninger4.801111113R. Turrini1.154490WSep 8 · 07:30M. Henninger1.061511113K. Waltl8.0013130LSep 7 · 16:30M. Henninger2.0061250K. Fadeev1.731114113WSep 7 · 14:30M. Henninger1.0511116113C. Schmitt8.50751171WSep 7 · 12:30R. Turrini1.101051541M. Henninger6.50121113113WSep 7 · 10:30M. Stefanidis4.70119961M. Henninger1.1461111113WAug 31 · 16:30M. Henninger1.0811911113S. Amann7.00511431
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