TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #13100446
Played Sep 10Finished
Damian Zech
Home
7.00
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311811911––––
Marius Henninger
Away
1.08
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:06 and never touched — 85.7% is still 85.7%
Graded at full timeMarius Henninger to win
85.7%
85.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
53 points played in total.
Set by set
311811911––––
H2H Damian Zech 0–7 Marius Henninger Damian Zech has won 0 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:06What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.08 (87%)
Henninger
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-7 in 7
Henninger
Correct
gap of 7 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zech 1365 vs Henninger 1745
Henninger
Correct
both rated, 380 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zech 0% vs Henninger 80%
Henninger
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zech 30% vs Henninger 80%
Henninger
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zech -5 · Henninger +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 88% — Strong (leans Henninger) · live re-read · sealed at 86% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Henninger form (80%) is below what odds imply (92%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZech 7.00 / Henninger 1.08
Signal prob.12% / 88%
Edge (Henninger)+1.6pp
Challenger Series TT · #13100446
Zech7.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Henninger1.08
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeZech0wins
AwayHenninger7wins
2 of 7 to a deciderHenninger leads 7–0, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZechn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayHenninger100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zech0Henninger7n = 7Henninger took 7 of 7
S2Zech2Henninger5n = 7Henninger took 5 of 7
S3Zech2Henninger5n = 7Henninger took 5 of 7
S4Zech2Henninger2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away343%
These 7 meetings
MetricZechHenningerZ − HBasisWins07−7in 7 meetingsFirst set07−7of 7Avg pointsper match31.640.9−9.3per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZechHenningerBasisWin rate · lifetime56 / 207 vs 58 / 10527.1%55.2%56 / 207 vs 58 / 105Avg sets wonper match1.42.0per matchAvg pointsper match32.835.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HenningerZech 7.00/Henninger 1.08
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
88.2%
Henninger · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Henninger won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LMar 5 · 08:30D. Zech—6111261M. Henninger—11714113
LJan 23 · 08:30D. Zech—991381M. Henninger—111111113
LJul 10 · 16:30D. Zech—310111182M. Henninger—111299113
LJun 13 · 07:30D. Zech—51230M. Henninger—1114113
LMay 15 · 17:00D. Zech—6630M. Henninger—1111113
LMar 20 · 08:30D. Zech—91141192M. Henninger—116115113
LJan 9 · 13:30D. Zech—10780M. Henninger—1211113
D. Zech10
LSep 10 · 10:30D. Cheaib1.0211711113D. Zech10.50711331LSep 10 · 09:40D. Zech—1M. Stefanidis—3LAug 20 · 16:30D. Zech8.501115681M. Danzer1.0571711113LAug 20 · 14:30D. Zech—711551N. Kizakisz—11911113LAug 20 · 12:30S. Almeida1.661111113D. Zech2.106970LAug 20 · 10:30E. Huzsvar1.5712101111113D. Zech2.2014129382LAug 20 · 09:00D. Zech11.006430D. Rinderer1.021111113WAug 20 · 07:30D. Zech1.5791111113A. Moreno2.25116791LAug 14 · 07:30D. Zech7.501511961L. Qiu1.0717411113WAug 13 · 16:30D. Zech—51111113M. Stefanidis—114871
M. Henninger10
WSep 10 · 09:30S. Amann8.000M. Henninger1.063WSep 8 · 11:00V. Senkbeil2.00119581M. Henninger1.7371111113WSep 8 · 09:45M. Henninger4.801111113R. Turrini1.154490WSep 8 · 07:30M. Henninger1.061511113K. Waltl8.0013130LSep 7 · 16:30M. Henninger2.0061250K. Fadeev1.731114113WSep 7 · 14:30M. Henninger1.0511116113C. Schmitt8.50751171WSep 7 · 12:30R. Turrini1.101051541M. Henninger6.50121113113WSep 7 · 10:30M. Stefanidis4.70119961M. Henninger1.1461111113WSep 7 · 09:00M. Henninger1.221111113S. Almeida3.703640WSep 7 · 07:30M. Henninger1.61111011113V. Senkbeil2.20412891
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