TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13100024
Played Sep 9Finished
Polina Pashchenko
Home
3.75
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
211119911811––
Nataliia Plokhotniuk
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:18 and never touched — 73.9% is still 73.9%
Graded at full timeNataliia Plokhotniuk to win
73.9%
73.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPolina Pashchenko above · Nataliia Plokhotniuk below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 72 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Nataliia Plokhotniuk at 73.9%
72 points played in total.
H2H Polina Pashchenko 0–1 Nataliia Plokhotniuk Polina Pashchenko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:18What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Plokhotniuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Pashchenko 1509 vs Plokhotniuk 1755
Plokhotniuk
Correct
both rated, 246 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pashchenko 20% vs Plokhotniuk 40%
Plokhotniuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pashchenko 50% vs Plokhotniuk 30%
Pashchenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pashchenko -4 · Plokhotniuk +1
Pashchenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Plokhotniuk) · live re-read · sealed at 74% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plokhotniuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPashchenko 3.75 / Plokhotniuk 1.25
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Plokhotniuk)+0.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #13100024
Pashchenko3.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Plokhotniuk1.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePashchenko0wins
AwayPlokhotniuk1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderPlokhotniuk leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPashchenkoPlokhotniukPashchenko − PlokhotniukBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match35.047.0−12.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPashchenkoPlokhotniukBasisWin rate · lifetime68 / 125 vs 104 / 17254.4%60.5%68 / 125 vs 104 / 172Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.837.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlokhotniukPashchenko 3.75/Plokhotniuk 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75%
Plokhotniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Plokhotniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LMay 29 · 05:00P. Pashchenko—11331172N. Plokhotniuk—511119113
P. Pashchenko10
LSep 9 · 07:30P. Pashchenko4.3310890I. Yevtodii1.201211113LSep 9 · 06:00P. Pashchenko1.731640A. Rzhevska2.001111113LSep 9 · 04:30P. Pashchenko6.001191341A. Ovriakh1.1191115113LSep 1 · 11:00Y. Mykhailyk1.8011411113P. Pashchenko1.91811781WSep 1 · 10:00A. Plashchynska6.004390P. Pashchenko1.111111113WSep 1 · 08:30V. Kurtenko1.73111113552P. Pashchenko2.00481511113WSep 1 · 06:30S. Yureneva1.44111141042P. Pashchenko2.63641112113WSep 1 · 04:30A. Rzhevska1.738480P. Pashchenko2.001111113WAug 21 · 10:14P. Pashchenko2.2511119113Y. Mykhailyk1.57461141LAug 21 · 08:30A. Rzhevska1.9171111113P. Pashchenko1.80117291
N. Plokhotniuk10
WSep 9 · 08:00N. Plokhotniuk1.201111113A. Rzhevska4.338540LSep 9 · 07:00R. Budnyk3.40811145113N. Plokhotniuk1.30118121192LSep 9 · 05:30N. Plokhotniuk2.6376110I. Yevtodii1.441111133WAug 13 · 10:30N. Plokhotniuk1.501111113U. Dronova2.508720LAug 13 · 09:00N. Plokhotniuk2.50611381I. Yevtodii1.5011511113LAug 13 · 07:30N. Plokhotniuk1.8010750A. Ovriakh1.911211113WAug 13 · 06:00N. Plokhotniuk1.2061112113A. Rzhevska4.331131081LAug 13 · 04:30N. Plokhotniuk1.2858110A. Kurtenko3.501111133LAug 12 · 10:30N. Plokhotniuk1.83971191A. Ovriakh1.8311118113LAug 12 · 09:00N. Plokhotniuk2.3858100I. Yevtodii1.531111123
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