TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13100023
Played Sep 9Finished
Polina Pashchenko
Home
4.33
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012811911––––
Iolanta Yevtodii
Away
1.20
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:18 and never touched — 78.3% is still 78.3%
Graded at full timeIolanta Yevtodii to win
78.3%
78.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPolina Pashchenko above · Iolanta Yevtodii below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 61 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Iolanta Yevtodii at 78.3%
61 points played in total.
H2H Polina Pashchenko 0–1 Iolanta Yevtodii Polina Pashchenko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:18What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Yevtodii
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Pashchenko 1511 vs Yevtodii 1992
Yevtodii
Correct
both rated, 480 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pashchenko 40% vs Yevtodii 100%
Yevtodii
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pashchenko 50% vs Yevtodii 100%
Yevtodii
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pashchenko -3 · Yevtodii +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Yevtodii)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yevtodii form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPashchenko 4.33 / Yevtodii 1.20
Signal prob.22% / 78%
Edge (Yevtodii)-0.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #13100023
Pashchenko4.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Yevtodii1.20
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePashchenko0wins
AwayYevtodii1wins
Yevtodii leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPashchenkoYevtodiiP − YBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match35.044.0−9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPashchenkoYevtodiiBasisWin rate · lifetime68 / 124 vs 108 / 14854.8%73%68 / 124 vs 108 / 148Avg sets wonper match2.12.5per matchAvg pointsper match35.939.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YevtodiiPashchenko 4.33/Yevtodii 1.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.3%
Yevtodii · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Yevtodii won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LMay 29 · 11:30P. Pashchenko—134991I. Yevtodii—111111113
P. Pashchenko10
LSep 9 · 06:00P. Pashchenko1.731640A. Rzhevska2.001111113LSep 9 · 04:30P. Pashchenko6.001191341A. Ovriakh1.1191115113LSep 1 · 11:00Y. Mykhailyk1.8011411113P. Pashchenko1.91811781WSep 1 · 10:00A. Plashchynska6.004390P. Pashchenko1.111111113WSep 1 · 08:30V. Kurtenko1.73111113552P. Pashchenko2.00481511113WSep 1 · 06:30S. Yureneva1.44111141042P. Pashchenko2.63641112113WSep 1 · 04:30A. Rzhevska1.738480P. Pashchenko2.001111113WAug 21 · 10:14P. Pashchenko2.2511119113Y. Mykhailyk1.57461141LAug 21 · 08:30A. Rzhevska1.9171111113P. Pashchenko1.80117291LAug 21 · 07:00S. Yureneva1.531111113P. Pashchenko2.383770
I. Yevtodii10
WSep 9 · 06:30I. Yevtodii1.831181211123A. Ovriakh1.83411147102WSep 9 · 05:30N. Plokhotniuk2.6376110I. Yevtodii1.441111133WAug 13 · 11:00I. Yevtodii1.17291111113A. Kurtenko4.5011118682WAug 13 · 09:00N. Plokhotniuk2.50611381I. Yevtodii1.5011511113WAug 13 · 08:00I. Yevtodii1.229101111113A. Rzhevska4.0011128862WAug 13 · 07:00U. Dronova4.0011731162I. Yevtodii1.22611118113WAug 13 · 05:30I. Yevtodii1.83811711113A. Ovriakh1.8311911792WAug 12 · 11:00I. Yevtodii1.2081211113R. Budnyk4.331110651WAug 12 · 09:00N. Plokhotniuk2.3858100I. Yevtodii1.531111123WAug 12 · 08:00I. Yevtodii1.1714114113A. Kurtenko4.501271171
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