TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13100102
Played Sep 9Finished
Polina Pashchenko
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
111611411––––
Anna Rzhevska
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePolina Pashchenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPolina Pashchenko above · Anna Rzhevska below
Set 1 · 1-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 44 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Polina Pashchenko at 54.0%
44 points played in total.
H2H Polina Pashchenko 6–6 Anna Rzhevska Dead even across their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:27What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pashchenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-6 in 12
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pashchenko 1511 vs Rzhevska 1584
Rzhevska
Correct
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pashchenko 60% vs Rzhevska 80%
Rzhevska
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pashchenko 50% vs Rzhevska 70%
Rzhevska
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pashchenko -2 · Rzhevska +3
Rzhevska
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Pashchenko) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rzhevska form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPashchenko 1.73 / Rzhevska 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Pashchenko)+1.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #13100102
Pashchenko1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Rzhevska2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePashchenko5wins
AwayRzhevska5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePashchenko80%4 of 5
AwayRzhevska80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pashchenko5Rzhevska5n = 10split evenly
S2Pashchenko5Rzhevska5n = 10split evenly
S3Pashchenko6Rzhevska4n = 10Pashchenko took 6 of 10
S4Pashchenko3Rzhevska1n = 4Pashchenko took 3 of 4
S5Pashchenko1Rzhevska2n = 3Rzhevska took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPashchenkoRzhevskaP − RBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.234.0+0.2per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPashchenkoRzhevskaBasisWin rate · lifetime68 / 124 vs 144 / 25954.8%55.6%68 / 124 vs 144 / 259Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.937.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PashchenkoPashchenko 1.73/Rzhevska 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.7%
Pashchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Rzhevska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 06:00P. Pashchenko—1640A. Rzhevska—1111113
WSep 1 · 04:30P. Pashchenko—1111113A. Rzhevska—8480
LAug 21 · 08:30P. Pashchenko—117291A. Rzhevska—71111113
WAug 4 · 09:28P. Pashchenko—1511911113A. Rzhevska—17811932
WAug 4 · 04:30P. Pashchenko—1111143A. Rzhevska—88120
WAug 2 · 13:10P. Pashchenko—1111103A. Rzhevska—6560
LJul 30 · 11:00P. Pashchenko—9750A. Rzhevska—1111113
WJun 26 · 07:00P. Pashchenko—1111113A. Rzhevska—9770
LJun 21 · 09:05P. Pashchenko—941111102A. Rzhevska—111189123
LJun 19 · 06:00P. Pashchenko—89111162A. Rzhevska—111159113
P. Pashchenko10
LSep 9 · 04:30P. Pashchenko6.001191341A. Ovriakh1.1191115113LSep 1 · 11:00Y. Mykhailyk1.8011411113P. Pashchenko1.91811781WSep 1 · 10:00A. Plashchynska6.004390P. Pashchenko1.111111113WSep 1 · 08:30V. Kurtenko1.73111113552P. Pashchenko2.00481511113WSep 1 · 06:30S. Yureneva1.44111141042P. Pashchenko2.63641112113WSep 1 · 04:30A. Rzhevska1.738480P. Pashchenko2.001111113WAug 21 · 10:14P. Pashchenko2.2511119113Y. Mykhailyk1.57461141LAug 21 · 08:30A. Rzhevska1.9171111113P. Pashchenko1.80117291LAug 21 · 07:00S. Yureneva1.531111113P. Pashchenko2.383770LAug 21 · 05:30Y. Mykhailyk1.5711118113P. Pashchenko2.25591131
A. Rzhevska10
WSep 9 · 05:00R. Budnyk1.4411890A. Rzhevska2.631311113WSep 6 · 16:09Y. Mykhailyk2.201011751A. Rzhevska1.6112211113WSep 6 · 15:10O. Melnik6.00111351A. Rzhevska1.1111811113LSep 6 · 13:40A. Rzhevska1.50811481Y. Mykhailyk2.5011211113WSep 6 · 12:10A. Rzhevska1.28911511113O. Kolbasenko3.5011211392WSep 6 · 10:40A. Rzhevska1.051211113A. Plashchynska8.5010560LSep 1 · 10:30A. Rzhevska1.28109100V. Kurtenko3.501211123WSep 1 · 09:00A. Rzhevska1.50119114113Y. Mykhailyk2.5071141192LSep 1 · 04:30A. Rzhevska1.738480P. Pashchenko2.001111113WAug 21 · 08:30A. Rzhevska1.9171111113P. Pashchenko1.80117291
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