TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13099814
Played Sep 9Finished
Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1141210119––––
Andriy Didyk
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:22 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Dobrovolskyi to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Dobrovolskyi above · Andriy Didyk below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 57 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi at 60.5%
57 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi 14–9 Andriy Didyk Andriy Didyk has won 9 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:22What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Dobrovolskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-9 in 23
Dobrovolskyi
Correct
gap of 5 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dobrovolskyi 1346 vs Didyk 1383
Didyk
Wrong
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dobrovolskyi 60% vs Didyk 80%
Didyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dobrovolskyi 50% vs Didyk 90%
Didyk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dobrovolskyi +1 · Didyk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Dobrovolskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Didyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDobrovolskyi 1.44 / Didyk 2.63
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Dobrovolskyi)-4.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13099814
Dobrovolskyi1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite73% won 60 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it95% 36 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it88% 45 of 51
Didyk2.63
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 51 of 117
Down 0–1, comes back25% 16 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDobrovolskyi9wins
AwayDidyk1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDobrovolskyi leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDobrovolskyi100%5 of 5
AwayDidyk20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dobrovolskyi5Didyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Dobrovolskyi10Didyk0n = 10Dobrovolskyi took 10 of 10
S3Dobrovolskyi8Didyk2n = 10Dobrovolskyi took 8 of 10
S4Dobrovolskyi5Didyk1n = 6Dobrovolskyi took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDobrovolskyiDidykDobrovolskyi − DidykBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.630.6+9.0per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDobrovolskyiDidykBasisWin rate · lifetime207 / 434 vs 223 / 46747.7%47.8%207 / 434 vs 223 / 467Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.034.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DobrovolskyiDobrovolskyi 1.44/Didyk 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Dobrovolskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Dobrovolskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 10:55V. Dobrovolskyi—1112113A. Didyk—41090
WJun 10 · 05:55V. Dobrovolskyi—1011118113A. Didyk—12521182
WJun 9 · 16:55V. Dobrovolskyi—11114113A. Didyk—681171
WApr 22 · 10:25V. Dobrovolskyi—51111113A. Didyk—118981
WApr 21 · 15:25V. Dobrovolskyi—1111113A. Didyk—6760
LApr 16 · 04:25V. Dobrovolskyi—1011101182A. Didyk—129128113
WApr 15 · 18:55V. Dobrovolskyi—101212113A. Didyk—12101031
WFeb 27 · 17:55V. Dobrovolskyi—71111113A. Didyk—118281
WFeb 12 · 19:55V. Dobrovolskyi—1311113A. Didyk—11480
WFeb 8 · 09:55V. Dobrovolskyi—1111113A. Didyk—8560
V. Dobrovolskyi10
WSep 9 · 08:55H. Oliynyk2.3811511892V. Dobrovolskyi1.53911311113LSep 9 · 07:55V. Dobrovolskyi1.36411851D. Kozoriz3.0011611113WSep 9 · 06:55D. Belanchik2.5045100V. Dobrovolskyi1.501111123LSep 9 · 05:25V. Dobrovolskyi1.67149811102O. Maksymkiv2.101211119123WSep 8 · 18:25V. Dobrovolskyi1.3611119113S. Kryvoshyi3.00831191LSep 8 · 16:25D. Belanchik2.63115189113V. Dobrovolskyi1.44911161192WSep 8 · 15:25V. Dobrovolskyi1.5311114113V. Kheresko2.38941171LSep 8 · 14:25D. Kozoriz3.751311113V. Dobrovolskyi1.2511570WSep 8 · 12:55V. Dobrovolskyi1.4021111113K. Tkachenko2.75117781LSep 1 · 19:05M. Slozka1.30121011113V. Dobrovolskyi3.401012381
A. Didyk10
WSep 9 · 09:55D. Kozoriz1.8091120A. Didyk1.911113113WSep 9 · 08:25D. Belanchik1.80761191A. Didyk1.9111111113LSep 9 · 06:25O. Maksymkiv2.6311115113A. Didyk1.44571151WSep 9 · 04:25H. Oliynyk1.678112101A. Didyk2.1011911123WSep 2 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi2.0051111111A. Didyk1.7311134133WSep 2 · 09:25A. Didyk1.57127129113O. Melnik2.251011101162WSep 2 · 08:25A. Didyk1.91471211113D. Kozoriz1.80111110882WSep 2 · 06:55A. Didyk1.44113811113O. Maksymkiv2.6391111682WSep 2 · 04:55A. Didyk1.4071112113V. Kheresko2.751181061WSep 1 · 17:55D. Kozoriz1.73881181A. Didyk2.0011112113
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