TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13082375
Played Sep 5Finished
Alan Wos
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711711119611––
Filip Mlynarski
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:00 and never touched — 70.7% is still 70.7%
Graded at full timeFilip Mlynarski to win
70.7%
70.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAlan Wos above · Filip Mlynarski below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 73 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Filip Mlynarski at 70.7%
73 points played in total.
H2H Alan Wos 4–14 Filip Mlynarski Alan Wos has won 4 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:00What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Mlynarski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-14 in 18
Mlynarski
Correct
gap of 10 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wos 1559 vs Mlynarski 1738
Mlynarski
Correct
both rated, 179 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wos 20% vs Mlynarski 80%
Mlynarski
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wos 20% vs Mlynarski 70%
Mlynarski
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wos -2 · Mlynarski +4
Mlynarski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Mlynarski) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wos form (20%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWos 3.25 / Mlynarski 1.33
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Mlynarski)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13082375
Wos3.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog32% won 93 of 294
Down 0–1, comes back18% 31 of 174
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 96
Mlynarski1.33
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 136 of 208
Up 2–0, closes it96% 71 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it81% 97 of 120
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWos3wins
AwayMlynarski7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMlynarski leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWos20%1 of 5
AwayMlynarski60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wos5Mlynarski5n = 10split evenly
S2Wos3Mlynarski7n = 10Mlynarski took 7 of 10
S3Wos3Mlynarski7n = 10Mlynarski took 7 of 10
S4Wos3Mlynarski6n = 9Mlynarski took 6 of 9
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWosMlynarskiW − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match32.838.9−6.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWosMlynarskiBasisWin rate · lifetime260 / 677 vs 161 / 28238.4%57.1%260 / 677 vs 161 / 282Avg sets wonper match1.72.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.138.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MlynarskiWos 3.25/Mlynarski 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.3%
Mlynarski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Mlynarski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 21:25A. Wos—771161F. Mlynarski—11119113
LSep 5 · 16:55A. Wos—1011621F. Mlynarski—12711113
WAug 30 · 15:00A. Wos—119911113F. Mlynarski—91111962
LAug 29 · 18:30A. Wos—51050F. Mlynarski—1112113
LAug 22 · 18:30A. Wos—118831F. Mlynarski—71111113
WAug 16 · 16:05A. Wos—51111113F. Mlynarski—116371
LAug 15 · 18:30A. Wos—118461F. Mlynarski—61111113
WJul 26 · 17:40A. Wos—31211123F. Mlynarski—11109101
LJul 25 · 15:45A. Wos—115791F. Mlynarski—81111113
LJul 5 · 18:50A. Wos—116761F. Mlynarski—61111113
A. Wos10
LSep 7 · 24:35A. Wos2.201121111102L. Pietraszko1.61811613123LSep 6 · 23:45D. Jadam1.5011113113A. Wos2.50711161WSep 6 · 22:35A. Wos3.25125117113F. Mlynarski1.33101181162LSep 6 · 21:50K. Kapik1.441111113A. Wos2.638640LSep 6 · 20:05A. Wos1.63115111082A. Lilien2.10911712113LSep 6 · 18:30J. Michalczyk2.50411117113A. Wos1.4611681172WSep 6 · 17:45M. Trela2.851110121062A. Wos1.359121012113WSep 6 · 16:55A. Wos1.361111113A. Myszewski2.805640WSep 6 · 15:50A. Wos1.421511113113B. Sulkowski2.6017761162WSep 6 · 24:10A. Wos2.5011116113D. Jadam1.50851191
F. Mlynarski10
WSep 6 · 23:20K. Kapik1.9161151172F. Mlynarski1.80119115113LSep 6 · 22:35A. Wos3.25125117113F. Mlynarski1.33101181162LSep 6 · 22:10F. Mlynarski1.501156101L. Pietraszko2.5071111123LSep 6 · 21:00D. Jadam1.911311118113F. Mlynarski1.8015941172LSep 6 · 20:30F. Mlynarski1.8311811382K. Kapik1.83811811113LSep 6 · 18:50F. Mlynarski1.40810111192J. Zochniak2.75111254113LSep 6 · 17:40F. Mlynarski1.4491311962L. Pietraszko2.631111511113WSep 6 · 16:05F. Mlynarski1.4411812113D. Jadam2.638111011LSep 6 · 15:00F. Mlynarski2.38131171172J. Kuzmicz1.53158114113LSep 6 · 24:35P. Jendrzejewski2.001111123F. Mlynarski1.7396100
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