TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13081952
Played Sep 5Finished
Filip Mlynarski
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210711116112––
Alan Wos
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:52 and never touched — 67.2% is still 67.2%
Graded at full timeFilip Mlynarski to win
67.2%
67.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Mlynarski above · Alan Wos below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 70 set 4, 11-2 — our read held Filip Mlynarski at 67.2%
70 points played in total.
H2H Filip Mlynarski 13–4 Alan Wos Alan Wos has won 4 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:52What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Mlynarski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-4 in 17
Mlynarski
Correct
gap of 9 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mlynarski 1731 vs Wos 1588
Mlynarski
Correct
both rated, 143 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mlynarski 40% vs Wos 0%
Mlynarski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mlynarski 50% vs Wos 30%
Mlynarski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mlynarski -1 · Wos -5
Wos
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Mlynarski) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wos form (0%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMlynarski 1.33 / Wos 3.25
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Mlynarski)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13081952
Mlynarski1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 136 of 208
Up 2–0, closes it96% 71 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it81% 97 of 120
Wos3.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog32% won 93 of 294
Down 0–1, comes back18% 31 of 174
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMlynarski7wins
AwayWos3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMlynarski leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMlynarski50%2 of 4
AwayWos16.7%1 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mlynarski4Wos6n = 10Wos took 6 of 10
S2Mlynarski7Wos3n = 10Mlynarski took 7 of 10
S3Mlynarski8Wos2n = 10Mlynarski took 8 of 10
S4Mlynarski6Wos3n = 9Mlynarski took 6 of 9
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMlynarskiWosM − WBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.833.0+5.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMlynarskiWosBasisWin rate · lifetime160 / 281 vs 260 / 67556.9%38.5%160 / 281 vs 260 / 675Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.636.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MlynarskiMlynarski 1.33/Wos 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.3%
Mlynarski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mlynarski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 16:55F. Mlynarski—12711113A. Wos—1011621
LAug 30 · 15:00F. Mlynarski—91111962A. Wos—119911113
WAug 29 · 18:30F. Mlynarski—1112113A. Wos—51050
WAug 22 · 18:30F. Mlynarski—71111113A. Wos—118831
LAug 16 · 16:05F. Mlynarski—116371A. Wos—51111113
WAug 15 · 18:30F. Mlynarski—61111113A. Wos—118461
LJul 26 · 17:40F. Mlynarski—11109101A. Wos—31211123
WJul 25 · 15:45F. Mlynarski—81111113A. Wos—115791
WJul 5 · 18:50F. Mlynarski—61111113A. Wos—116761
WJul 4 · 18:30F. Mlynarski—81111113A. Wos—118861
F. Mlynarski10
WSep 6 · 23:20K. Kapik1.9161151172F. Mlynarski1.80119115113LSep 6 · 22:35A. Wos3.25125117113F. Mlynarski1.33101181162LSep 6 · 22:10F. Mlynarski1.501156101L. Pietraszko2.5071111123LSep 6 · 21:00D. Jadam1.911311118113F. Mlynarski1.8015941172LSep 6 · 20:30F. Mlynarski1.8311811382K. Kapik1.83811811113LSep 6 · 18:50F. Mlynarski1.40810111192J. Zochniak2.75111254113LSep 6 · 17:40F. Mlynarski1.4491311962L. Pietraszko2.631111511113WSep 6 · 16:05F. Mlynarski1.4411812113D. Jadam2.638111011LSep 6 · 15:00F. Mlynarski2.38131171172J. Kuzmicz1.53158114113LSep 6 · 24:35P. Jendrzejewski2.001111123F. Mlynarski1.7396100
A. Wos10
LSep 7 · 24:35A. Wos2.201121111102L. Pietraszko1.61811613123LSep 6 · 23:45D. Jadam1.5011113113A. Wos2.50711161WSep 6 · 22:35A. Wos3.25125117113F. Mlynarski1.33101181162LSep 6 · 21:50K. Kapik1.441111113A. Wos2.638640LSep 6 · 20:05A. Wos1.63115111082A. Lilien2.10911712113LSep 6 · 18:30J. Michalczyk2.50411117113A. Wos1.4611681172WSep 6 · 17:45M. Trela2.851110121062A. Wos1.359121012113WSep 6 · 16:55A. Wos1.361111113A. Myszewski2.805640WSep 6 · 15:50A. Wos1.421511113113B. Sulkowski2.6017761162WSep 6 · 24:10A. Wos2.5011116113D. Jadam1.50851191
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