TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13077204
Played Sep 5Finished
Jacek Wieczerzak
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118811911119611
Jakub Nowak
Away
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:59 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeJacek Wieczerzak to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJacek Wieczerzak above · Jakub Nowak below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 95 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Jacek Wieczerzak at 65.3%
95 points played in total.
H2H Jacek Wieczerzak 1–0 Jakub Nowak Jakub Nowak has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:59What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Wieczerzak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Wieczerzak 1550 vs Nowak 1352
Wieczerzak
Wrong
both rated, 198 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wieczerzak 80% vs Nowak 40%
Wieczerzak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wieczerzak 60% vs Nowak 40%
Wieczerzak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wieczerzak +2 · Nowak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Wieczerzak) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWieczerzak 1.33 / Nowak 3.25
Signal prob.74% / 26%
Edge (Wieczerzak)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13077204
Wieczerzak1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 72 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it93% 39 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it77% 54 of 70
Nowak3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
44%takes the first set · 4 of 9
As underdog36% won 241 of 666
Down 0–1, comes back21% 85 of 403
Down 0–2, comes back9% 21 of 234
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeWieczerzak1wins
AwayNowak0wins
Wieczerzak leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricWieczerzakNowakW − NBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match50.038.0+12.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWieczerzakNowakBasisWin rate · lifetime130 / 239 vs 672 / 173454.4%38.8%130 / 239 vs 672 / 1734Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WieczerzakWieczerzak 1.33/Nowak 3.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.7%
Wieczerzak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Nowak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 25 · 04:55J. Wieczerzak—71121113J. Nowak—1121961
J. Wieczerzak10
WSep 6 · 13:55Z. Sobkow1.834810J. Wieczerzak1.831111113LSep 6 · 13:05P. Gumulinski2.1011111311113J. Wieczerzak1.6713615652LSep 6 · 12:15J. Wieczerzak1.2891211442O. Vincenec3.501110911113LSep 6 · 10:35J. Wieczerzak1.4089100J. Jesiek2.751111123WSep 6 · 09:50P. Jedrzejak1.573780J. Wieczerzak2.251111113WSep 6 · 08:35J. Wieczerzak1.401111113O. Vincenec2.757660LSep 6 · 06:55J. Wieczerzak1.6191111782P. Gumulinski2.20114911113LSep 6 · 05:40J. Wieczerzak2.009680P. Jedrzejak1.731111113LSep 6 · 04:10J. Wieczerzak1.6783110Z. Sobkow2.101111133LSep 6 · 03:00J. Wieczerzak1.36117131192J. Jesiek3.00811155113
J. Nowak10
LSep 7 · 05:40M. Adamus2.101113113J. Nowak1.6761130LSep 7 · 04:55J. Nowak1.83111351292P. Przewlocki1.835111114113LSep 7 · 03:50J. Nowak2.2511173882J. Pruszkowski1.579151111113WSep 7 · 02:20J. Nowak2.251112113J. Pruszkowski1.5781070WSep 7 · 24:45S. Krupa1.571197101J. Nowak2.2591111123LSep 7 · 24:00P. Adamus1.4712911113J. Nowak2.401011971WSep 6 · 23:10J. Nowak1.3413116113R. Ogon2.901181181LSep 6 · 22:00J. Nowak2.60321141K. Schaniel1.4211117113LSep 5 · 14:40S. Szostok1.5061311113J. Nowak2.501111571LSep 5 · 13:30J. Nowak2.389111371W. Wojtaszczyk1.5311915113
Upcoming Matches
J. Wieczerzak
Nothing scheduled
J. Nowak
Sep 7 · 08:10J. Nowak1.91R. Niemiec1.80—Sep 7 · 17:55J. Nowak—K. Adamus——Sep 7 · 18:45J. Nowak—M. Sikon——Sep 7 · 19:55J. Nowak—P. Kurek——Sep 7 · 21:05J. Nowak—G. Marud——Sep 7 · 22:20J. Nowak—O. Jadach——Sep 7 · 23:50J. Nowak—K. Adamus——Sep 8 · 24:30J. Nowak—O. Jadach——Sep 8 · 01:30J. Nowak—P. Kurek——Sep 8 · 03:05J. Nowak—G. Marud——
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