TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13054913
Played Sep 1Finished
Yurii Zvolynskyi
Home
1.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114116116––––
Oleksandr Badanin
Away
3.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:16 and never touched — 78.5% is still 78.5%
Graded at full timeYurii Zvolynskyi to win
78.5%
78.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Zvolynskyi above · Oleksandr Badanin below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 49 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Yurii Zvolynskyi at 78.5%
49 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Zvolynskyi 18–3 Oleksandr Badanin Oleksandr Badanin has won 3 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:16What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Zvolynskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-3 in 21
Zvolynskyi
Correct
gap of 15 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zvolynskyi 1274 vs Badanin 1206
Zvolynskyi
Correct
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zvolynskyi 40% vs Badanin 80%
Badanin
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zvolynskyi 60% vs Badanin 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zvolynskyi -1 · Badanin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Zvolynskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Badanin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZvolynskyi 1.25 / Badanin 3.75
Signal prob.79% / 22%
Edge (Zvolynskyi)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13054913
Zvolynskyi1.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite71% won 82 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it96% 52 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it88% 66 of 75
Badanin3.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 22 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back15% 4 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZvolynskyi8wins
AwayBadanin2wins
Zvolynskyi leads 8–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZvolynskyi100%7 of 7
AwayBadanin66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zvolynskyi7Badanin3n = 10Zvolynskyi took 7 of 10
S2Zvolynskyi7Badanin3n = 10Zvolynskyi took 7 of 10
S3Zvolynskyi10Badanin0n = 10Zvolynskyi took 10 of 10
S4Zvolynskyi2Badanin2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZvolynskyiBadaninZ − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.426.8+8.6per matchSweeps60+63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZvolynskyiBadaninBasisWin rate · lifetime300 / 573 vs 157 / 32552.4%48.3%300 / 573 vs 157 / 325Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.436.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZvolynskyiZvolynskyi 1.25/Badanin 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.5%
Zvolynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zvolynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 17 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi—691331O. Badanin—111111113
WApr 24 · 10:28Y. Zvolynskyi—131112113O. Badanin—1571071
WApr 24 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi—1111113O. Badanin—8690
LApr 6 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi—8511121O. Badanin—11114143
WApr 1 · 07:30Y. Zvolynskyi—1111113O. Badanin—4640
WMar 13 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi—1111113O. Badanin—8590
WFeb 23 · 10:30Y. Zvolynskyi—11911113O. Badanin—411861
WOct 2 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi—1111113O. Badanin—7900
WSep 24 · 08:00Y. Zvolynskyi—1111113O. Badanin—7790
WSep 24 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi—1111113O. Badanin—7470
Y. Zvolynskyi10
LSep 4 · 10:39Y. Zvolynskyi2.254370V. Kurliuk1.571111113WSep 4 · 09:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.081111113V. Khyzhnyak7.005970LSep 4 · 08:00V. Kurliuk1.73711511113Y. Zvolynskyi2.0011611342WSep 4 · 07:00O. Badanin4.33811134102Y. Zvolynskyi1.201191111123WSep 4 · 05:30S. Honcharenko2.384660Y. Zvolynskyi1.531111113LSep 3 · 10:35S. Honcharenko2.004121111113Y. Zvolynskyi1.73111071362WSep 3 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.501111110113S. Honcharenko2.5091181262WSep 3 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.141111113V. Hyriavyi5.005660WSep 3 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.251111113V. Matviichuk3.759990WSep 3 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.1071211113S. Zherykhin6.501110741
O. Badanin10
LSep 7 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko2.381111133O. Badanin1.5388110LSep 7 · 07:00V. Khyzhnyak3.7511111113O. Badanin1.25991181LSep 7 · 05:30A. Lysyi2.7511119113O. Badanin1.40991171WSep 4 · 10:09S. Honcharenko2.209114101O. Badanin1.6111911123LSep 4 · 09:30O. Badanin3.7511791152V. Kurliuk1.25711118113WSep 4 · 08:30O. Badanin1.57111125113S. Honcharenko2.2559111182LSep 4 · 07:00O. Badanin4.33811134102Y. Zvolynskyi1.201191111123WSep 4 · 06:00O. Badanin1.3311711113V. Khyzhnyak3.25411531WSep 1 · 10:13O. Badanin1.751111113Y. Urezchenko1.953450WSep 1 · 09:00O. Badanin1.33121112113S. Zherykhin3.251091441
Upcoming Matches
Y. Zvolynskyi
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O. Badanin
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