TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13022080
Played Aug 26Finished
Piotr Kedzierski
Home
2.45
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1147111012311––
Jakub Komorowicz
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:31 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Komorowicz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
69 points played in total.
Set by set
1147111012311––
H2H Piotr Kedzierski 11–15 Jakub Komorowicz Piotr Kedzierski has won 11 of their 26 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:31What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (62%)
Komorowicz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-15 in 26
Komorowicz
Correct
gap of 4 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kedzierski 1292 vs Komorowicz 1328
Komorowicz
Correct
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kedzierski 40% vs Komorowicz 20%
Kedzierski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kedzierski 50% vs Komorowicz 20%
Kedzierski
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kedzierski +1 · Komorowicz +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Komorowicz) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Komorowicz form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKedzierski 2.45 / Komorowicz 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Komorowicz)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13022080
Kedzierski2.45
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog37% won 47 of 126
Down 0–1, comes back19% 14 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 45
Komorowicz1.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 58 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it100% 28 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it91% 41 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKedzierski5wins
AwayKomorowicz5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKedzierski100%5 of 5
AwayKomorowicz100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kedzierski5Komorowicz5n = 10split evenly
S2Kedzierski3Komorowicz7n = 10Komorowicz took 7 of 10
S3Kedzierski6Komorowicz4n = 10Kedzierski took 6 of 10
S4Kedzierski6Komorowicz2n = 8Kedzierski took 6 of 8
S5Kedzierski1Komorowicz2n = 3Komorowicz took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKedzierskiKomorowiczKedzierski − KomorowiczBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.340.0−1.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKedzierskiKomorowiczBasisWin rate · lifetime164 / 429 vs 210 / 46238.2%45.5%164 / 429 vs 210 / 462Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KomorowiczKedzierski 2.45/Komorowicz 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.4%
Komorowicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Komorowicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 22 · 07:35P. Kedzierski—7121351J. Komorowicz—111015113
WAug 18 · 18:00P. Kedzierski—11911113J. Komorowicz—811861
WAug 15 · 18:05P. Kedzierski—11611113J. Komorowicz—611991
LAug 14 · 19:00P. Kedzierski—74111382J. Komorowicz—1111911113
LAug 4 · 18:30P. Kedzierski—4380J. Komorowicz—1111113
WJul 21 · 22:10P. Kedzierski—111112133J. Komorowicz—61310111
LJul 21 · 16:30P. Kedzierski—29111152J. Komorowicz—111195113
LJun 30 · 21:30P. Kedzierski—5111091J. Komorowicz—11812113
WJun 30 · 17:30P. Kedzierski—1111113J. Komorowicz—6870
WJun 24 · 20:00P. Kedzierski—1112911113J. Komorowicz—71411892
P. Kedzierski10
LAug 26 · 22:10W. Arkadiusz1.269111011113P. Kedzierski3.5011912852WAug 26 · 20:00K. Patryk1.23411981P. Kedzierski3.5011511113LAug 26 · 19:00P. Kedzierski2.608790L. Buklat1.411111113WAug 26 · 16:30P. Kedzierski2.7511512113P. Odelski1.369111091LAug 26 · 14:30P. Kedzierski3.658990W. Arkadiusz1.211111113LAug 22 · 13:45P. Kedzierski—10980W. Arkadiusz—1211113WAug 22 · 13:05P. Kedzierski2.7561114133W. Arkadiusz1.3611812111LAug 22 · 11:05M. Szostak1.5411611113P. Kedzierski2.22811861LAug 22 · 09:05K. Patryk1.301113113P. Kedzierski3.0031180WAug 22 · 08:05K. Kos1.2711891182P. Kedzierski3.20511117113
J. Komorowicz10
WSep 2 · 21:40P. Kamil1.6311811892J. Komorowicz2.15811811113LSep 2 · 20:00P. Kamil1.78111110113J. Komorowicz1.91671291LSep 2 · 19:00J. Komorowicz2.439111041L. Buklat1.4511912113LSep 2 · 18:00J. Komorowicz2.5512811982W. Arkadiusz1.421011911113LSep 2 · 16:30J. Komorowicz2.22811651P. Odelski1.5411811113LSep 2 · 14:30J. Komorowicz2.9512116542K. Patryk1.361091111113WSep 1 · 22:30J. Komorowicz3.30811126133K. Patryk1.291191011112WSep 1 · 21:00J. Komorowicz2.901111133K. Patryk1.3399110LSep 1 · 19:00K. Kos1.611111123J. Komorowicz2.0985100LSep 1 · 17:00F. Baranski2.11711116113J. Komorowicz1.6011991182
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