TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13022805
Played Aug 26Finished
Kiejda Patryk
Home
1.23
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411115911811––
Piotr Kedzierski
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:29 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timeKiejda Patryk to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
70 points played in total.
Set by set
411115911811––
H2H Kiejda Patryk 7–3 Piotr Kedzierski Piotr Kedzierski has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:29What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.23 (74%)
Patryk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-3 in 10
Patryk
Wrong
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Patryk 1505 vs Kedzierski 1271
Patryk
Wrong
both rated, 233 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Patryk 40% vs Kedzierski 20%
Patryk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Patryk 60% vs Kedzierski 30%
Patryk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Patryk +2 · Kedzierski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Patryk) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Patryk form (40%) is below what odds imply (81%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPatryk 1.23 / Kedzierski 3.50
Signal prob.78% / 22%
Edge (Patryk)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13022805
Patryk1.23
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 81 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it96% 46 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it80% 61 of 76
Kedzierski3.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog37% won 47 of 126
Down 0–1, comes back19% 14 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePatryk7wins
AwayKedzierski3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPatryk leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePatryk71.4%5 of 7
AwayKedzierski33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Patryk7Kedzierski3n = 10Patryk took 7 of 10
S2Patryk6Kedzierski4n = 10Patryk took 6 of 10
S3Patryk9Kedzierski1n = 10Patryk took 9 of 10
S4Patryk4Kedzierski3n = 7Patryk took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPatrykKedzierskiP − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.531.8+7.7per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPatrykKedzierskiBasisWin rate · lifetime161 / 281 vs 164 / 43157.3%38.1%161 / 281 vs 164 / 431Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.737.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PatrykPatryk 1.23/Kedzierski 3.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
78%
Patryk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kedzierski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 22 · 09:05K. Patryk—1113113P. Kedzierski—31180
LAug 18 · 20:00K. Patryk—1161091P. Kedzierski—31112113
LAug 15 · 20:05K. Patryk—116121092P. Kedzierski—6111012113
WAug 4 · 17:30K. Patryk—11511113P. Kedzierski—511381
WJul 7 · 17:30K. Patryk—1111113P. Kedzierski—6530
WJun 30 · 18:30K. Patryk—71211113P. Kedzierski—1110831
LJun 24 · 14:30K. Patryk—1211111062P. Kedzierski—148612113
WJun 23 · 19:00K. Patryk—1111113P. Kedzierski—7730
WJun 10 · 15:30K. Patryk—11911113P. Kedzierski—911771
WOct 25 · 06:35K. Patryk—61111113P. Kedzierski—119951
K. Patryk10
WSep 7 · 17:00K. Patryk1.5711118113L. Buklat2.25891171LSep 7 · 15:00K. Patryk1.50614551K. Kos2.30111211113WSep 7 · 14:00K. Patryk1.601091711113W. Arkadiusz2.10121115892WSep 2 · 22:10L. Buklat2.1599110K. Patryk1.611111133LSep 2 · 21:00L. Buklat2.1581311133K. Patryk1.5811116111LSep 2 · 19:30K. Patryk1.5781170W. Arkadiusz2.171113113LSep 2 · 17:30P. Odelski2.00891112113K. Patryk1.72111191032WSep 2 · 15:00P. Kamil2.20471231K. Patryk1.58111110113WSep 2 · 14:30J. Komorowicz2.9512116542K. Patryk1.361091111113LSep 1 · 22:30J. Komorowicz3.30811126133K. Patryk1.291191011112
P. Kedzierski10
LAug 26 · 22:10W. Arkadiusz1.269111011113P. Kedzierski3.5011912852LAug 26 · 19:00P. Kedzierski2.608790L. Buklat1.411111113LAug 26 · 18:00P. Kedzierski2.451171031J. Komorowicz1.5041112113WAug 26 · 16:30P. Kedzierski2.7511512113P. Odelski1.369111091LAug 26 · 14:30P. Kedzierski3.658990W. Arkadiusz1.211111113LAug 22 · 13:45P. Kedzierski—10980W. Arkadiusz—1211113WAug 22 · 13:05P. Kedzierski2.7561114133W. Arkadiusz1.3611812111LAug 22 · 11:05M. Szostak1.5411611113P. Kedzierski2.22811861LAug 22 · 09:05K. Patryk1.301113113P. Kedzierski3.0031180WAug 22 · 08:05K. Kos1.2711891182P. Kedzierski3.20511117113
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