Michal Szostak vs Piotr Kedzierski 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #12474665

Played Aug 22Finished

Michal Szostak

Home

1.54

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

118611118116––

Piotr Kedzierski

Away

2.22

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:14 and never touched — 56.8% is still 56.8%

Graded at full time

Piotr Kedzierski to win

56.8%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is going

Point-by-point unavailable

BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.

72 points played in total.

Set by set

118611118116––

H2H Michal Szostak 9–9 Piotr Kedzierski Dead even across their 18 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 08:14

What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.54 (59%)

Szostak

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

9-9 in 18

—

Too close

gap of 0, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Szostak 1353 vs Kedzierski 1285

Szostak

Correct

both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Szostak 40% vs Kedzierski 60%

Kedzierski

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Szostak 40% vs Kedzierski 40%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Szostak +1 · Kedzierski -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Szostak) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Kedzierski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSzostak 1.54 / Kedzierski 2.22

Signal prob.60% / 40%

Edge (Szostak)+1.0pp

TT Cup · #12474665

Szostak1.54

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite47% won 17 of 36

Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8

Up 1–0, closes it75% 12 of 16

Kedzierski2.22

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog37% won 47 of 126

Down 0–1, comes back17% 12 of 70

Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 44

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeSzostak5wins

AwayKedzierski5wins

2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSzostak100%5 of 5

AwayKedzierski100%5 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Szostak5Kedzierski5n = 10split evenly

S2Szostak5Kedzierski5n = 10split evenly

S3Szostak3Kedzierski7n = 10Kedzierski took 7 of 10

S4Szostak3Kedzierski3n = 6split evenly

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricSzostakKedzierskiS − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.734.5+1.2per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSzostakKedzierskiBasisWin rate · lifetime128 / 252 vs 162 / 42450.8%38.2%128 / 252 vs 162 / 424Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.537.6per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Szostak

Szostak 1.54/Kedzierski 2.22

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

60%

Szostak · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Szostak won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WAug 18 · 16:30M. Szostak—1111113P. Kedzierski—4430

WJun 23 · 21:40M. Szostak—1191111113P. Kedzierski—91113872

LJun 23 · 16:00M. Szostak—811961P. Kedzierski—11611113

LMay 19 · 16:00M. Szostak—11960P. Kedzierski—1311113

WMar 18 · 16:00M. Szostak—11119113P. Kedzierski—591151

LMar 16 · 23:10M. Szostak—81130P. Kedzierski—1113113

LMar 16 · 16:30M. Szostak—1111661P. Kedzierski—13511113

LMar 11 · 15:30M. Szostak—651181P. Kedzierski—11114113

WJan 10 · 14:45M. Szostak—1151111113P. Kedzierski—41113972

WJan 10 · 07:05M. Szostak—1211113P. Kedzierski—10790

M. Szostak10

LAug 30 · 14:05W. Arkadiusz1.661110138113M. Szostak2.10712111192 WAug 30 · 12:05K. Patryk1.6014781192M. Szostak2.201211119113 LAug 30 · 11:05M. Szostak1.9598130W. Arkadiusz1.751111153 LAug 30 · 10:05M. Szostak2.10115691L. Buklat1.6031111113 WAug 30 · 08:35M. Szostak2.0011121111113P. Kamil1.7213146982 WAug 30 · 06:35M. Szostak2.1081112113K. Kos1.651171061 WAug 25 · 22:00W. Arkadiusz1.75111081192M. Szostak1.95912116113 LAug 25 · 20:30M. Szostak1.9761511101W. Arkadiusz1.6911179123 LAug 25 · 18:30P. Odelski1.807111011113M. Szostak1.8611512942 WAug 25 · 17:30M. Szostak1.785111310113J. Komorowicz1.86117111272

P. Kedzierski10

LAug 26 · 22:10W. Arkadiusz1.269111011113P. Kedzierski3.5011912852 WAug 26 · 20:00K. Patryk1.23411981P. Kedzierski3.5011511113 LAug 26 · 19:00P. Kedzierski2.608790L. Buklat1.411111113 LAug 26 · 18:00P. Kedzierski2.451171031J. Komorowicz1.5041112113 WAug 26 · 16:30P. Kedzierski2.7511512113P. Odelski1.369111091 LAug 26 · 14:30P. Kedzierski3.658990W. Arkadiusz1.211111113 LAug 22 · 13:45P. Kedzierski—10980W. Arkadiusz—1211113 WAug 22 · 13:05P. Kedzierski2.7561114133W. Arkadiusz1.3611812111 LAug 22 · 09:05K. Patryk1.301113113P. Kedzierski3.0031180 WAug 22 · 08:05K. Kos1.2711891182P. Kedzierski3.20511117113

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