TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13022482
Played Aug 26Finished
Piotr Kedzierski
Home
2.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811711911––––
Lukasz Buklat
Away
1.41
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:51 and never touched — 55.0% is still 55.0%
Graded at full timeLukasz Buklat to win
55.0%
55.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
811711911––––
H2H Piotr Kedzierski 8–13 Lukasz Buklat Piotr Kedzierski has won 8 of their 21 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:51What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.41 (65%)
Buklat
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-13 in 21
Buklat
Correct
gap of 5 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kedzierski 1281 vs Buklat 1413
Buklat
Correct
both rated, 132 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kedzierski 40% vs Buklat 20%
Kedzierski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kedzierski 40% vs Buklat 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kedzierski -1 · Buklat -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Buklat) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Buklat form (20%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKedzierski 2.60 / Buklat 1.41
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Buklat)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13022482
Kedzierski2.60
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 47 of 126
Down 0–1, comes back19% 14 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 45
Buklat1.41
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 63 of 108
Up 2–0, closes it100% 33 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it81% 47 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKedzierski5wins
AwayBuklat5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKedzierski66.7%2 of 3
AwayBuklat57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kedzierski3Buklat7n = 10Buklat took 7 of 10
S2Kedzierski4Buklat6n = 10Buklat took 6 of 10
S3Kedzierski4Buklat6n = 10Buklat took 6 of 10
S4Kedzierski7Buklat1n = 8Kedzierski took 7 of 8
S5Kedzierski2Buklat2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKedzierskiBuklatK − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.639.8−0.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKedzierskiBuklatBasisWin rate · lifetime164 / 430 vs 257 / 45138.1%57%164 / 430 vs 257 / 451Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuklatKedzierski 2.60/Buklat 1.41
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66%
Buklat · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Buklat won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 15 · 23:05P. Kedzierski—1271141L. Buklat—101113113
WAug 15 · 16:35P. Kedzierski—141211113L. Buklat—1610821
LJul 7 · 16:00P. Kedzierski—5750L. Buklat—1111113
WJun 24 · 19:00P. Kedzierski—811811133L. Buklat—116119112
WMay 13 · 16:00P. Kedzierski—11811113L. Buklat—911791
LJan 19 · 17:30P. Kedzierski—711812122L. Buklat—1191110143
WJan 10 · 13:35P. Kedzierski—11119113L. Buklat—251151
LJan 2 · 07:30P. Kedzierski—55111162L. Buklat—111195113
LDec 31 · 08:00P. Kedzierski—10970L. Buklat—1211113
WDec 16 · 17:00P. Kedzierski—3131111113L. Buklat—11158612
P. Kedzierski10
LAug 26 · 22:10W. Arkadiusz1.269111011113P. Kedzierski3.5011912852WAug 26 · 20:00K. Patryk1.23411981P. Kedzierski3.5011511113LAug 26 · 18:00P. Kedzierski2.451171031J. Komorowicz1.5041112113WAug 26 · 16:30P. Kedzierski2.7511512113P. Odelski1.369111091LAug 26 · 14:30P. Kedzierski3.658990W. Arkadiusz1.211111113LAug 22 · 13:45P. Kedzierski—10980W. Arkadiusz—1211113WAug 22 · 13:05P. Kedzierski2.7561114133W. Arkadiusz1.3611812111LAug 22 · 11:05M. Szostak1.5411611113P. Kedzierski2.22811861LAug 22 · 09:05K. Patryk1.301113113P. Kedzierski3.0031180WAug 22 · 08:05K. Kos1.2711891182P. Kedzierski3.20511117113
L. Buklat10
WSep 7 · 19:00W. Dariusz1.9011881442L. Buklat1.828111112113LSep 7 · 17:00K. Patryk1.5711118113L. Buklat2.25891171LSep 7 · 16:00P. Odelski1.7311711113L. Buklat1.92911831LSep 7 · 15:30L. Buklat1.8369100W. Arkadiusz1.831111123LSep 2 · 22:10L. Buklat2.1599110K. Patryk1.611111133WSep 2 · 21:00L. Buklat2.1581311133K. Patryk1.5811116111WSep 2 · 19:00J. Komorowicz2.439111041L. Buklat1.4511912113WSep 2 · 17:00P. Kamil1.80119661L. Buklat1.9161111113LSep 2 · 16:00P. Odelski1.7711118143L. Buklat1.938611121LSep 2 · 15:30L. Buklat1.886811111W. Arkadiusz1.8211119133
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