TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12474592
Played Aug 22Finished
Kiejda Patryk
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1131311118––––
Piotr Kedzierski
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:54 and never touched — 57.5% is still 57.5%
Graded at full timeKiejda Patryk to win
57.5%
57.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
1131311118––––
H2H Kiejda Patryk 6–3 Piotr Kedzierski Piotr Kedzierski has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:54What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (70%)
Patryk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Patryk
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Patryk 1492 vs Kedzierski 1293
Patryk
Correct
both rated, 199 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Patryk 60% vs Kedzierski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Patryk 60% vs Kedzierski 40%
Patryk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Patryk +2 · Kedzierski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Patryk) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kedzierski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPatryk 1.30 / Kedzierski 3.00
Signal prob.80% / 20%
Edge (Patryk)+10.0pp
TT Cup · #12474592
Patryk1.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 68 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it95% 38 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it79% 52 of 66
Kedzierski3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 47 of 126
Down 0–1, comes back17% 12 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomePatryk6wins
AwayKedzierski3wins
2 of 9 to a deciderPatryk leads 6–3, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePatryk66.7%4 of 6
AwayKedzierski33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Patryk6Kedzierski3n = 9Patryk took 6 of 9
S2Patryk5Kedzierski4n = 9Patryk took 5 of 9
S3Patryk8Kedzierski1n = 9Patryk took 8 of 9
S4Patryk4Kedzierski3n = 7Patryk took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home444%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricPatrykKedzierskiP − KBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set63+3of 9Avg pointsper match40.032.9+7.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPatrykKedzierskiBasisWin rate · lifetime147 / 262 vs 162 / 42356.1%38.3%147 / 262 vs 162 / 423Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.437.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PatrykPatryk 1.30/Kedzierski 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.8%
Patryk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Patryk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 18 · 20:00K. Patryk—1161091P. Kedzierski—31112113
LAug 15 · 20:05K. Patryk—116121092P. Kedzierski—6111012113
WAug 4 · 17:30K. Patryk—11511113P. Kedzierski—511381
WJul 7 · 17:30K. Patryk—1111113P. Kedzierski—6530
WJun 30 · 18:30K. Patryk—71211113P. Kedzierski—1110831
LJun 24 · 14:30K. Patryk—1211111062P. Kedzierski—148612113
WJun 23 · 19:00K. Patryk—1111113P. Kedzierski—7730
WJun 10 · 15:30K. Patryk—11911113P. Kedzierski—911771
WOct 25 · 06:35K. Patryk—61111113P. Kedzierski—119951
K. Patryk10
WSep 7 · 17:00K. Patryk1.5711118113L. Buklat2.25891171LSep 7 · 15:00K. Patryk1.50614551K. Kos2.30111211113WSep 7 · 14:00K. Patryk1.601091711113W. Arkadiusz2.10121115892WSep 2 · 22:10L. Buklat2.1599110K. Patryk1.611111133LSep 2 · 21:00L. Buklat2.1581311133K. Patryk1.5811116111LSep 2 · 19:30K. Patryk1.5781170W. Arkadiusz2.171113113LSep 2 · 17:30P. Odelski2.00891112113K. Patryk1.72111191032WSep 2 · 15:00P. Kamil2.20471231K. Patryk1.58111110113WSep 2 · 14:30J. Komorowicz2.9512116542K. Patryk1.361091111113LSep 1 · 22:30J. Komorowicz3.30811126133K. Patryk1.291191011112
P. Kedzierski10
LAug 26 · 22:10W. Arkadiusz1.269111011113P. Kedzierski3.5011912852WAug 26 · 20:00K. Patryk1.23411981P. Kedzierski3.5011511113LAug 26 · 19:00P. Kedzierski2.608790L. Buklat1.411111113LAug 26 · 18:00P. Kedzierski2.451171031J. Komorowicz1.5041112113WAug 26 · 16:30P. Kedzierski2.7511512113P. Odelski1.369111091LAug 26 · 14:30P. Kedzierski3.658990W. Arkadiusz1.211111113LAug 22 · 13:45P. Kedzierski—10980W. Arkadiusz—1211113WAug 22 · 13:05P. Kedzierski2.7561114133W. Arkadiusz1.3611812111LAug 22 · 11:05M. Szostak1.5411611113P. Kedzierski2.22811861WAug 22 · 08:05K. Kos1.2711891182P. Kedzierski3.20511117113
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