TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12474594
Played Aug 22Finished
Kamil Kos
Home
1.27
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115811911117811
Piotr Kedzierski
Away
3.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:55 and never touched — 81.6% is still 81.6%
Graded at full timeKamil Kos to win
81.6%
81.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
92 points played in total.
Set by set
115811911117811
H2H Kamil Kos 4–2 Piotr Kedzierski Piotr Kedzierski has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:55What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.27 (72%)
Kos
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Kos
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kos 1418 vs Kedzierski 1283
Kos
Wrong
both rated, 135 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kos 80% vs Kedzierski 60%
Kos
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kos 70% vs Kedzierski 40%
Kos
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kos +4 · Kedzierski -1
Kos
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 82% — Strong (leans Kos)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kedzierski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKos 1.27 / Kedzierski 3.20
Signal prob.82% / 18%
Edge (Kos)+10.0pp
TT Cup · #12474594
Kos1.27
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite51% won 42 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it86% 30 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it68% 38 of 56
Kedzierski3.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 47 of 126
Down 0–1, comes back17% 12 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeKos4wins
AwayKedzierski2wins
2 of 6 to a deciderKos leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKos80%4 of 5
AwayKedzierskin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kos5Kedzierski1n = 6Kos took 5 of 6
S2Kos4Kedzierski2n = 6Kos took 4 of 6
S3Kos3Kedzierski3n = 6split evenly
S4Kos2Kedzierski2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricKosKedzierskiKos − KedzierskiBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match41.034.2+6.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosKedzierskiBasisWin rate · lifetime134 / 271 vs 163 / 42749.5%38.2%134 / 271 vs 163 / 427Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match40.137.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosKos 1.27/Kedzierski 3.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
81.6%
Kos · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kedzierski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 22 · 08:05K. Kos—11891182P. Kedzierski—511117113
WAug 18 · 14:30K. Kos—11119113P. Kedzierski—571181
LJul 21 · 18:00K. Kos—7119101P. Kedzierski—11611123
WJul 7 · 16:30K. Kos—1191210113P. Kedzierski—911101282
WJun 23 · 17:00K. Kos—1112113P. Kedzierski—41080
WJun 10 · 16:00K. Kos—1111113P. Kedzierski—4940
K. Kos10
LSep 7 · 19:30K. Kos1.7079110W. Arkadiusz1.951111133LSep 7 · 17:30P. Odelski1.6011911113K. Kos2.11711881WSep 7 · 15:00K. Patryk1.50614551K. Kos2.30111211113WSep 7 · 14:30W. Dariusz1.809712101K. Kos1.91111110123LSep 1 · 21:30F. Baranski1.59114711123K. Kos2.24711116102LSep 1 · 20:00F. Baranski2.85138119113K. Kos1.33111151182WSep 1 · 19:00K. Kos1.611111123J. Komorowicz2.0985100LSep 1 · 18:00K. Kos1.6471111882W. Arkadiusz2.04118511113LSep 1 · 16:30K. Kos1.71641471P. Kamil2.00111112113WSep 1 · 14:30K. Kos2.1712119123K. Patryk1.5710811101
P. Kedzierski10
LAug 26 · 22:10W. Arkadiusz1.269111011113P. Kedzierski3.5011912852WAug 26 · 20:00K. Patryk1.23411981P. Kedzierski3.5011511113LAug 26 · 19:00P. Kedzierski2.608790L. Buklat1.411111113LAug 26 · 18:00P. Kedzierski2.451171031J. Komorowicz1.5041112113WAug 26 · 16:30P. Kedzierski2.7511512113P. Odelski1.369111091LAug 26 · 14:30P. Kedzierski3.658990W. Arkadiusz1.211111113LAug 22 · 13:45P. Kedzierski—10980W. Arkadiusz—1211113WAug 22 · 13:05P. Kedzierski2.7561114133W. Arkadiusz1.3611812111LAug 22 · 11:05M. Szostak1.5411611113P. Kedzierski2.22811861LAug 22 · 09:05K. Patryk1.301113113P. Kedzierski3.0031180
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