TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13021465
Played Aug 26Finished
Piotr Kedzierski
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1195111210119––
Piotr Odelski
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:16 and never touched — 69.7% is still 69.7%
Graded at full timePiotr Odelski to win
69.7%
69.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
78 points played in total.
Set by set
1195111210119––
H2H Piotr Kedzierski 1–2 Piotr Odelski Piotr Kedzierski has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:16What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (67%)
Odelski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kedzierski 1273 vs Odelski 1467
Odelski
Wrong
both rated, 194 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kedzierski 20% vs Odelski 80%
Odelski
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kedzierski 40% vs Odelski 70%
Odelski
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kedzierski -2 · Odelski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Odelski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kedzierski form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKedzierski 2.75 / Odelski 1.36
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Odelski)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13021465
Kedzierski2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog37% won 47 of 126
Down 0–1, comes back19% 14 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 45
Odelski1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 7 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKedzierski1wins
AwayOdelski2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderOdelski leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kedzierski2Odelski1n = 3Kedzierski took 2 of 3
S2Kedzierski1Odelski2n = 3Odelski took 2 of 3
S3Kedzierski2Odelski1n = 3Kedzierski took 2 of 3
S4Kedzierski1Odelski2n = 3Odelski took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricKedzierskiOdelskiK − OBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match39.044.7−5.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKedzierskiOdelskiBasisWin rate · lifetime163 / 428 vs 19 / 3638.1%52.8%163 / 428 vs 19 / 36Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.540.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OdelskiKedzierski 2.75/Odelski 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.7%
Odelski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kedzierski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 18 · 22:00P. Kedzierski—11311113P. Odelski—811991
LAug 18 · 19:00P. Kedzierski—116681P. Odelski—91111113
LAug 15 · 17:05P. Kedzierski—1011116122P. Odelski—129911143
P. Kedzierski10
LAug 26 · 22:10W. Arkadiusz1.269111011113P. Kedzierski3.5011912852WAug 26 · 20:00K. Patryk1.23411981P. Kedzierski3.5011511113LAug 26 · 19:00P. Kedzierski2.608790L. Buklat1.411111113LAug 26 · 18:00P. Kedzierski2.451171031J. Komorowicz1.5041112113LAug 26 · 14:30P. Kedzierski3.658990W. Arkadiusz1.211111113LAug 22 · 13:45P. Kedzierski—10980W. Arkadiusz—1211113WAug 22 · 13:05P. Kedzierski2.7561114133W. Arkadiusz1.3611812111LAug 22 · 11:05M. Szostak1.5411611113P. Kedzierski2.22811861LAug 22 · 09:05K. Patryk1.301113113P. Kedzierski3.0031180WAug 22 · 08:05K. Kos1.2711891182P. Kedzierski3.20511117113
P. Odelski10
WSep 7 · 17:30P. Odelski1.6011911113K. Kos2.11711881WSep 7 · 16:30W. Dariusz5.7549111162P. Odelski1.12111165113WSep 7 · 16:00P. Odelski1.7311711113L. Buklat1.92911831WSep 2 · 22:40P. Odelski1.591111113W. Arkadiusz2.138890WSep 2 · 20:30P. Odelski1.6414711113W. Arkadiusz2.031211781WSep 2 · 18:30P. Kamil2.25671171P. Odelski1.5811118113WSep 2 · 17:30P. Odelski2.00891112113K. Patryk1.72111191032WSep 2 · 16:30J. Komorowicz2.22811651P. Odelski1.5411811113WSep 2 · 16:00P. Odelski1.7711118143L. Buklat1.938611121WAug 31 · 22:40P. Odelski1.758111111113P. Kamil1.9811135892
Upcoming Matches
P. Kedzierski
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P. Odelski
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