TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13021418
Played Aug 27Finished
Jakub Kwapis
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911711118711––
Tomasz Filbrandt
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:11 and never touched — 63.4% is still 63.4%
Graded at full timeTomasz Filbrandt to win
63.4%
63.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Kwapis above · Tomasz Filbrandt below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 75 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Tomasz Filbrandt at 63.4%
75 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:11What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Filbrandt
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kwapis 1621 vs Filbrandt 1579
Kwapis
Wrong
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kwapis 80% vs Filbrandt 60%
Kwapis
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kwapis 40% vs Filbrandt 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kwapis -1 · Filbrandt -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kwapis) · live re-read · sealed at 37% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kwapis form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKwapis 1.83 / Filbrandt 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kwapis)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13021418
Kwapis1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Filbrandt1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKwapisFilbrandtBasisWin rate · lifetime255 / 549 vs 689 / 128046.5%53.8%255 / 549 vs 689 / 1280Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.139.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KwapisKwapis 1.83/Filbrandt 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kwapis · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Filbrandt won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Kwapis10
WAug 28 · 24:10J. Kwapis1.3611911113J. Glanowski3.00911571LAug 27 · 23:20J. Kwapis1.801191310152J. Mitas1.918111112173WAug 27 · 21:50J. Kwapis2.50711118113J. Kuzmicz1.5011591172WAug 27 · 21:25J. Kwapis1.8371111113M. Rutkowski1.83118961LAug 27 · 20:30J. Mitas1.9111117113J. Kwapis1.80571171LAug 27 · 18:05M. Benes1.40116511113J. Kwapis2.7551111652WAug 27 · 16:55K. Kapik2.25113781J. Kwapis1.5771111113WAug 27 · 15:25J. Braun1.50121161292J. Kwapis2.501481110113WAug 27 · 24:10M. Rutkowski2.0081113582J. Kwapis1.731141111113WAug 26 · 23:45J. Kwapis1.611111113J. Glanowski2.203970
T. Filbrandt10
WSep 5 · 23:20A. Wos2.38101115572T. Filbrandt1.531291311113LSep 5 · 22:35P. Jendrzejewski1.731111113T. Filbrandt2.008980WSep 5 · 22:10T. Filbrandt1.67119124113F. Mlynarski2.10411101172WSep 5 · 21:00D. Jadam2.0091490T. Filbrandt1.731116113WSep 5 · 20:30T. Filbrandt1.5711711113A. Wos2.25711691WSep 5 · 18:50T. Filbrandt1.83121177123P. Jendrzejewski1.831071111102LSep 5 · 17:40T. Filbrandt1.83511761F. Mlynarski1.8311911113LSep 5 · 16:05T. Filbrandt2.251111781J. Kuzmicz1.5791311103LSep 5 · 15:00T. Filbrandt1.7361111952D. Jadam2.00113711113LSep 5 · 01:30J. Kuzmicz1.50111188113T. Filbrandt2.5048111192
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