TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13021414
Played Aug 27Finished
Jacek Mitas
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115117711117––
Jakub Kwapis
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:10 and never touched — 71.4% is still 71.4%
Graded at full timeJacek Mitas to win
71.4%
71.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJacek Mitas above · Jakub Kwapis below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 70 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Jacek Mitas at 71.4%
70 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:10What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kwapis
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Mitas 1569 vs Kwapis 1621
Kwapis
Wrong
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mitas 20% vs Kwapis 60%
Kwapis
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mitas 40% vs Kwapis 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mitas -1 · Kwapis -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kwapis) · live re-read · sealed at 29% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mitas form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMitas 1.91 / Kwapis 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kwapis)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13021414
Mitas1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 39 of 112
Down 0–1, comes back19% 12 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 42
Kwapis1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite52% won 57 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it97% 30 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it76% 44 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMitasKwapisBasisWin rate · lifetime96 / 209 vs 255 / 54945.9%46.5%96 / 209 vs 255 / 549Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KwapisMitas 1.91/Kwapis 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kwapis · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mitas won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Mitas10
LAug 29 · 01:10J. Mitas1.50813451D. Solilo2.50111111113LAug 29 · 24:20J. Mitas1.5081461152K. Rudomina2.501112115113WAug 28 · 22:50J. Mitas2.501111113M. Rutkowski1.508980LAug 28 · 22:30J. Mitas2.10951171S. Sporek1.6711119113WAug 28 · 21:45T. Filbrandt1.91691151J. Mitas1.8011118113LAug 28 · 20:30J. Mitas3.406560K. Kolodziej1.301111113WAug 28 · 19:15S. Sporek1.6711111091J. Mitas2.1051312113WAug 28 · 18:05M. Rutkowski1.801271151J. Mitas1.9114117113LAug 28 · 16:30K. Kapik1.919111111113J. Mitas1.8011413662WAug 27 · 23:20J. Kwapis1.801191310152J. Mitas1.918111112173
J. Kwapis10
WAug 28 · 24:10J. Kwapis1.3611911113J. Glanowski3.00911571LAug 27 · 23:20J. Kwapis1.801191310152J. Mitas1.918111112173WAug 27 · 21:50J. Kwapis2.50711118113J. Kuzmicz1.5011591172WAug 27 · 21:25J. Kwapis1.8371111113M. Rutkowski1.83118961LAug 27 · 19:15J. Kwapis1.83971171T. Filbrandt1.8311118113LAug 27 · 18:05M. Benes1.40116511113J. Kwapis2.7551111652WAug 27 · 16:55K. Kapik2.25113781J. Kwapis1.5771111113WAug 27 · 15:25J. Braun1.50121161292J. Kwapis2.501481110113WAug 27 · 24:10M. Rutkowski2.0081113582J. Kwapis1.731141111113WAug 26 · 23:45J. Kwapis1.611111113J. Glanowski2.203970
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