TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12466128
Played Aug 21Finished
Krystian Kolodziej
Home
2.06
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511119511118611
Andrew Baggaley
Away
1.65
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:54 and never touched — 72.0% is still 72.0%
Graded at full timeKrystian Kolodziej to win
72.0%
72.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingKrystian Kolodziej above · Andrew Baggaley below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 88 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Krystian Kolodziej at 72.0%
88 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:54What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (56%)
Baggaley
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kolodziej 1834 vs Baggaley 1919
Baggaley
Correct
both rated, 85 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolodziej 40% vs Baggaley 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolodziej 50% vs Baggaley 30%
Kolodziej
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolodziej -1 · Baggaley +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Baggaley) · live re-read · sealed at 28% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Baggaley form (40%) is below what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolodziej 2.06 / Baggaley 1.65
Signal prob.45% / 56%
Edge (Baggaley)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12466128
Kolodziej2.06
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 69 of 181
Down 0–1, comes back25% 25 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 54
Baggaley1.65
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolodziejBaggaleyBasisWin rate · lifetime1311 / 1935 vs 27 / 4567.8%60%1311 / 1935 vs 27 / 45Avg sets wonper match2.42.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
BaggaleyKolodziej 2.06/Baggaley 1.65
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.5%
Baggaley · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Baggaley won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
K. Kolodziej10
WSep 7 · 11:40P. David1.3061381162K. Kolodziej3.401111115113LSep 7 · 10:50K. Kolodziej3.259780J. Kosowski1.331111113LSep 7 · 09:40K. Kolodziej4.5011781192J. Folwarski1.17511117113LSep 4 · 21:00A. Daniel2.10581211113K. Kolodziej1.67111110592WSep 4 · 20:05P. Jendrzejewski2.63471291K. Kolodziej1.44111110113WSep 4 · 19:15K. Kolodziej1.361311113M. Rutkowski3.0011610WSep 4 · 17:40K. Kolodziej1.1451111113M. Kolek5.00113921WSep 4 · 16:55T. Filbrandt2.63116110K. Kolodziej1.441311133WSep 4 · 15:45A. Grela1.61116100K. Kolodziej2.201311123WSep 4 · 14:35K. Kolodziej2.751181011113A. Dosz1.4061112752
A. Baggaley10
WAug 21 · 14:35M. Olejnik2.75121181122A. Baggaley1.40145116113WAug 21 · 12:30A. Grela2.63111181142A. Baggaley1.44851113113LAug 21 · 11:40J. Zandecki3.25811811113A. Baggaley1.3311611882LAug 21 · 10:00K. Wloczko5.5011911173A. Baggaley1.137119151LAug 20 · 14:10A. Baggaley1.40311991A. Abbasi2.7511811113LAug 20 · 12:30K. Petas4.5011139113A. Baggaley1.177111181LAug 20 · 11:40J. Zandecki3.751211113A. Baggaley1.2510970WAug 20 · 10:50A. Baggaley1.3611811113A. Grela3.00611881LAug 20 · 09:40A. Baggaley1.57111280M. Jadczyk2.251314113LJun 2 · 09:00D. Movileanu1.221111113A. Baggaley4.009870
Upcoming Matches
K. Kolodziej
Sep 7 · 12:30K. Kolodziej2.00S. Kolasa1.73—Sep 7 · 14:10K. Kolodziej2.38J. Zandecki1.53—Sep 8 · 09:00K. Kolodziej2.20T. Spanik1.61—Sep 8 · 10:25K. Kolodziej2.50M. Olejnik1.50—Sep 8 · 11:15K. Kolodziej3.25J. Kosowski1.33—Sep 8 · 13:20K. Kolodziej3.25A. Wiecek1.33—Sep 8 · 14:10K. Kolodziej1.91K. Wloczko1.80—
A. Baggaley
Nothing scheduled
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