TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12460087
Played Aug 20Finished
Andrew Baggaley
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
311118911911––
Amirreza Abbasi
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:50 and never touched — 68.3% is still 68.3%
Graded at full timeAndrew Baggaley to win
68.3%
68.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAndrew Baggaley above · Amirreza Abbasi below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 73 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Andrew Baggaley at 68.3%
73 points played in total.
H2H Andrew Baggaley 0–1 Amirreza Abbasi Andrew Baggaley has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:50What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Baggaley
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Baggaley 1899 vs Abbasi 1889
Baggaley
Wrong
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Baggaley 20% vs Abbasi 40%
Abbasi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Baggaley 30% vs Abbasi 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Baggaley -2 · Abbasi -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Baggaley) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Baggaley form (20%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBaggaley 1.40 / Abbasi 2.75
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Baggaley)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12460087
Baggaley1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Abbasi2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 50 of 138
Down 0–1, comes back21% 16 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBaggaley0wins
AwayAbbasi1wins
Abbasi leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBaggaleyAbbasiB − ABasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match32.041.0−9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBaggaleyAbbasiBasisWin rate · lifetime24 / 40 vs 208 / 45460%45.8%24 / 40 vs 208 / 454Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BaggaleyBaggaley 1.40/Abbasi 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.3%
Baggaley · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Abbasi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 20 · 14:10A. Baggaley—311991A. Abbasi—11811113
A. Baggaley10
WAug 21 · 15:25K. Kolodziej2.0651151162A. Baggaley1.65119118113WAug 21 · 14:35M. Olejnik2.75121181122A. Baggaley1.40145116113WAug 21 · 12:30A. Grela2.63111181142A. Baggaley1.44851113113LAug 21 · 11:40J. Zandecki3.25811811113A. Baggaley1.3311611882LAug 21 · 10:00K. Wloczko5.5011911173A. Baggaley1.137119151LAug 20 · 12:30K. Petas4.5011139113A. Baggaley1.177111181LAug 20 · 11:40J. Zandecki3.751211113A. Baggaley1.2510970WAug 20 · 10:50A. Baggaley1.3611811113A. Grela3.00611881LAug 20 · 09:40A. Baggaley1.57111280M. Jadczyk2.251314113LJun 2 · 09:00D. Movileanu1.221111113A. Baggaley4.009870
A. Abbasi10
LSep 2 · 16:59A. Abbasi6.004940V. Ursu1.111111113WSep 2 · 16:02A. Abbasi2.2511911113J. Park1.579111051WAug 30 · 17:00A. Abbasi—11114113P. Zatowka—461161LAug 29 · 17:15O. Kveton—131131163A. Abbasi—15911142WAug 29 · 16:45S. Belik—7550A. Abbasi—1111113LAug 28 · 18:18A. Abbasi1.736340M. Bobocica2.001111113LAug 28 · 17:32K. Zhou1.371211123A. Abbasi2.80109100WAug 23 · 14:10M. Nowalinski2.1081111992A. Abbasi1.67118511113WAug 23 · 13:20S. Dosz2.504119111A. Abbasi1.5011911133LAug 23 · 11:15P. David1.531611123A. Abbasi2.38144100
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