TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12465244
Played Aug 21Finished
Jan Zandecki
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811116811118118
Andrew Baggaley
Away
1.33
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:18 and never touched — 75.0% is still 75.0%
Graded at full timeAndrew Baggaley to win
75.0%
75.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Zandecki above · Andrew Baggaley below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 93 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Andrew Baggaley at 75.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Jan Zandecki 1–0 Andrew Baggaley Andrew Baggaley has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:18What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Baggaley
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Zandecki 1940 vs Baggaley 1883
Zandecki
Correct
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zandecki 80% vs Baggaley 20%
Zandecki
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zandecki 70% vs Baggaley 20%
Zandecki
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zandecki +4 · Baggaley -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Baggaley) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Baggaley form (20%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZandecki 3.25 / Baggaley 1.33
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Baggaley)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12465244
Zandecki3.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest67%takes the first set · 6 of 9
As underdog45% won 76 of 170
Down 0–1, comes back25% 22 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 38
Baggaley1.33
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeZandecki1wins
AwayBaggaley0wins
Zandecki leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricZandeckiBaggaleyZ − BBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match34.026.0+8.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZandeckiBaggaleyBasisWin rate · lifetime470 / 860 vs 24 / 4154.7%58.5%470 / 860 vs 24 / 41Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BaggaleyZandecki 3.25/Baggaley 1.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.9%
Baggaley · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zandecki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 20 · 11:40J. Zandecki—1211113A. Baggaley—10970
J. Zandecki10
WSep 7 · 03:00S. Kolasa1.830J. Zandecki1.830WAug 25 · 14:10K. Strowski3.2511101191J. Zandecki1.3313127113LAug 25 · 13:20K. Petas2.001117113J. Zandecki1.7381570WAug 25 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.8311116862J. Zandecki1.83781111113WAug 25 · 10:25A. Wiecek2.106880J. Zandecki1.671111113LAug 25 · 09:00M. Olejnik1.441111133J. Zandecki2.6374110LAug 25 · 08:05M. Olejnik1.441111143J. Zandecki2.6354120LAug 25 · 07:20A. Wiecek1.731111113J. Zandecki2.007880WAug 25 · 05:15K. Petas2.20711271J. Zandecki1.6111711113WAug 25 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.8088111162J. Zandecki1.91111148113
A. Baggaley10
WAug 21 · 15:25K. Kolodziej2.0651151162A. Baggaley1.65119118113WAug 21 · 14:35M. Olejnik2.75121181122A. Baggaley1.40145116113WAug 21 · 12:30A. Grela2.63111181142A. Baggaley1.44851113113LAug 21 · 10:00K. Wloczko5.5011911173A. Baggaley1.137119151LAug 20 · 14:10A. Baggaley1.40311991A. Abbasi2.7511811113LAug 20 · 12:30K. Petas4.5011139113A. Baggaley1.177111181LAug 20 · 11:40J. Zandecki3.751211113A. Baggaley1.2510970WAug 20 · 10:50A. Baggaley1.3611811113A. Grela3.00611881LAug 20 · 09:40A. Baggaley1.57111280M. Jadczyk2.251314113LJun 2 · 09:00D. Movileanu1.221111113A. Baggaley4.009870
Upcoming Matches
J. Zandecki
A. Baggaley
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