TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12465228
Played Aug 21Finished
Krzysztof Wloczko
Home
5.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1179111191715––
Andrew Baggaley
Away
1.13
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:16 and never touched — 85.5% is still 85.5%
Graded at full timeAndrew Baggaley to win
85.5%
85.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingKrzysztof Wloczko above · Andrew Baggaley below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 17-15
Point 90 set 4, 17-15 — our read held Andrew Baggaley at 85.5%
90 points played in total.
H2H Krzysztof Wloczko 0–1 Andrew Baggaley Krzysztof Wloczko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:16What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.13 (83%)
Baggaley
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Wloczko 1821 vs Baggaley 1899
Baggaley
Wrong
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wloczko 40% vs Baggaley 20%
Wloczko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wloczko 50% vs Baggaley 20%
Wloczko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wloczko +2 · Baggaley -3
Baggaley
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Baggaley) · live re-read · sealed at 86% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Baggaley form (20%) is below what odds imply (89%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWloczko 5.50 / Baggaley 1.13
Signal prob.17% / 83%
Edge (Baggaley)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12465228
Wloczko5.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest56%takes the first set · 5 of 9
As underdog40% won 147 of 371
Down 0–1, comes back18% 37 of 203
Down 0–2, comes back7% 9 of 121
Baggaley1.13
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeWloczko0wins
AwayBaggaley1wins
Baggaley leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricWloczkoBaggaleyW − BBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match16.033.0−17.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWloczkoBaggaleyBasisWin rate · lifetime951 / 1820 vs 24 / 4052.3%60%951 / 1820 vs 24 / 40Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BaggaleyWloczko 5.50/Baggaley 1.13
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
83%
Baggaley · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Wloczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LDec 5 · 14:40K. Wloczko—7720A. Baggaley—1111113
K. Wloczko10
WSep 7 · 11:20M. Sklensky2.327820K. Wloczko1.521111113LSep 7 · 10:30G. Poliniewicz3.1011911123K. Wloczko1.307116101WSep 7 · 09:00K. Strowski2.5091312101K. Wloczko1.44111510123WSep 4 · 14:15K. Wloczko1.411011116113K. Wisniewski2.6012781192WSep 4 · 12:35J. Zochniak4.955980K. Wloczko1.131111113LSep 4 · 11:45A. Daniel1.80711911113K. Wloczko1.9011911682WSep 4 · 10:55K. Wloczko1.951111113S. Dosz1.758960LSep 4 · 09:45K. Wloczko1.65811581G. Poliniewicz2.0511611113WSep 3 · 08:05S. Dosz1.57951531K. Wloczko2.25111113113WSep 3 · 07:20D. Michna1.737970K. Wloczko2.001111113
A. Baggaley10
WAug 21 · 15:25K. Kolodziej2.0651151162A. Baggaley1.65119118113WAug 21 · 14:35M. Olejnik2.75121181122A. Baggaley1.40145116113WAug 21 · 12:30A. Grela2.63111181142A. Baggaley1.44851113113LAug 21 · 11:40J. Zandecki3.25811811113A. Baggaley1.3311611882LAug 20 · 14:10A. Baggaley1.40311991A. Abbasi2.7511811113LAug 20 · 12:30K. Petas4.5011139113A. Baggaley1.177111181LAug 20 · 11:40J. Zandecki3.751211113A. Baggaley1.2510970WAug 20 · 10:50A. Baggaley1.3611811113A. Grela3.00611881LAug 20 · 09:40A. Baggaley1.57111280M. Jadczyk2.251314113LJun 2 · 09:00D. Movileanu1.221111113A. Baggaley4.009870
Upcoming Matches
K. Wloczko
Sep 7 · 13:25K. Wloczko1.49K. Glazowski2.39—Sep 7 · 14:15K. Wloczko1.29K. Wisniewski3.20—Sep 8 · 09:40K. Wloczko2.38M. Olejnik1.53—Sep 8 · 10:50K. Wloczko2.75A. Wiecek1.40—Sep 8 · 11:40K. Wloczko2.00T. Spanik1.73—Sep 8 · 12:30K. Wloczko3.00J. Kosowski1.36—Sep 8 · 14:10K. Wloczko1.80K. Kolodziej1.91—
A. Baggaley
Nothing scheduled
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