TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12438499
Played Aug 15Finished
Libor Stacho
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811911––––
Yurii Holovatiuk
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:14 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLibor Stacho to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLibor Stacho above · Yurii Holovatiuk below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 58 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Libor Stacho at 54.0%
58 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:14What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Stacho
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Stacho 1508 vs Holovatiuk 1463
Stacho
Wrong
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stacho 40% vs Holovatiuk 60%
Holovatiuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stacho 50% vs Holovatiuk 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stacho -2 · Holovatiuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Stacho) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holovatiuk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStacho 1.61 / Holovatiuk 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Stacho)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12438499
Stacho1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 15 of 25
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Holovatiuk2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog34% won 44 of 129
Down 0–1, comes back19% 13 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricStachoHolovatiukBasisWin rate · lifetime33 / 65 vs 281 / 58850.8%47.8%33 / 65 vs 281 / 588Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StachoStacho 1.61/Holovatiuk 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Stacho · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Holovatiuk won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
L. Stacho10
LAug 15 · 17:30L. Stacho1.8011211792D. Oborny1.91811611113WAug 15 · 16:30F. Jungman2.6331070L. Stacho1.441112113WAug 15 · 15:30L. Stacho1.671211113K. Darin2.1010670WAug 15 · 14:30D. Oborny1.40341161L. Stacho2.7511119113WAug 15 · 12:59L. Stacho1.408121911113F. Jungman2.75111417942WAug 15 · 12:30L. Stacho1.571211113F. Jungman2.2510570LAug 15 · 10:00D. Oborny1.6113411113L. Stacho2.201111641LJul 16 · 17:30L. Stacho2.21711151K. Darin1.5411119113WJul 16 · 16:30L. Stacho1.501181210113K. Darin2.50311101282WJul 16 · 15:00L. Stacho2.101111113J. Plachy1.676870
Y. Holovatiuk10
WSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113LSep 6 · 02:30V. Postelt1.2811115113Y. Holovatiuk3.50751161WSep 6 · 01:00J. Plachy1.7312660Y. Holovatiuk2.001411113LSep 5 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk3.2575111162P. Fojt1.33111195113WSep 5 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk2.10111114113J. Prokupek1.671381211WSep 5 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.738111011113K. Darin2.0011912472LSep 5 · 20:00L. Krok1.611411113Y. Holovatiuk2.2012460WSep 5 · 19:00K. Darin1.91316100Y. Holovatiuk1.801118123LSep 5 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk2.0011461172J. Plachy1.73811117113WSep 5 · 03:28Y. Holovatiuk1.8311511153K. Darin1.830118131
Upcoming Matches
L. Stacho
Nothing scheduled
Y. Holovatiuk
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