TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12231937
Played Jul 16Finished
Libor Stacho
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11381112101012118
Kyryl Darin
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingLibor Stacho above · Kyryl Darin below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 96 set 5, 11-8
96 points played in total.
H2H Libor Stacho 3–2 Kyryl Darin Kyryl Darin has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Stacho)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stacho form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStacho 1.50 / Darin 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 37%
Edge (Stacho)+1.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12231937
Stacho1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 13 of 24
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it79% 11 of 14
Darin2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 207 of 459
Down 0–1, comes back25% 64 of 255
Down 0–2, comes back11% 17 of 152
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeStacho3wins
AwayDarin2wins
1 of 5 to a deciderStacho leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStachon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayDarin66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stacho2Darin3n = 5Darin took 3 of 5
S2Stacho5Darin0n = 5Stacho took 5 of 5
S3Stacho2Darin3n = 5Darin took 3 of 5
S4Stacho1Darin3n = 4Darin took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricStachoDarinS − DBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match38.034.2+3.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStachoDarinBasisWin rate · lifetime32 / 62 vs 750 / 152051.6%49.3%32 / 62 vs 750 / 1520Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StachoStacho 1.50/Darin 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.5%
Stacho · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Stacho won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LJun 11 · 12:30L. Stacho—6128111K. Darin—111011133
WMay 8 · 16:30L. Stacho—111177113K. Darin—94111142
WMay 8 · 11:30L. Stacho—1111113K. Darin—5950
LApr 18 · 17:00L. Stacho—711651K. Darin—11211113
WApr 18 · 14:30L. Stacho—111111113K. Darin—134881
L. Stacho10
LAug 15 · 17:30L. Stacho1.8011211792D. Oborny1.91811611113WAug 15 · 16:30F. Jungman2.6331070L. Stacho1.441112113WAug 15 · 15:30L. Stacho1.671211113K. Darin2.1010670WAug 15 · 14:30D. Oborny1.40341161L. Stacho2.7511119113WAug 15 · 12:59L. Stacho1.408121911113F. Jungman2.75111417942WAug 15 · 12:30L. Stacho1.571211113F. Jungman2.2510570LAug 15 · 11:00L. Stacho1.618890Y. Holovatiuk2.201111113LAug 15 · 10:00D. Oborny1.6113411113L. Stacho2.201111641LJul 16 · 17:30L. Stacho2.21711151K. Darin1.5411119113WJul 16 · 15:00L. Stacho2.101111113J. Plachy1.676870
K. Darin10
WSep 7 · 09:00K. Darin1.50111214113M. Stefek2.502101671WSep 7 · 08:30K. Darin1.44121111113J. Didi2.63147991LSep 7 · 07:00K. Darin1.618690T. Andrle2.201111113LSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792LSep 6 · 13:01K. Darin1.80961171L. Malek1.9111115113LSep 6 · 12:00K. Darin1.801111511102F. Jungman1.91281113123WSep 6 · 11:30L. Malek2.009120K. Darin1.731111113LSep 6 · 10:00K. Darin1.6111841182F. Briza2.20911119113LAug 15 · 15:30L. Stacho1.671211113K. Darin2.1010670WJul 16 · 17:30L. Stacho2.21711151K. Darin1.5411119113
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