TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12434266
Played Aug 15Finished
Libor Stacho
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210115117––––
Filip Jungman
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:45 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeLibor Stacho to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLibor Stacho above · Filip Jungman below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 56 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Libor Stacho at 57.7%
56 points played in total.
H2H Libor Stacho 3–0 Filip Jungman Filip Jungman has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:45What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Stacho
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Stacho
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stacho 1558 vs Jungman 1313
Stacho
Correct
both rated, 245 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stacho 40% vs Jungman 0%
Stacho
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stacho 50% vs Jungman 10%
Stacho
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stacho -3 · Jungman -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Stacho) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jungman form (0%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStacho 1.57 / Jungman 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Stacho)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12434266
Stacho1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 15 of 25
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Jungman2.25
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 20 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back25% 6 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeStacho3wins
AwayJungman0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderStacho leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stacho2Jungman1n = 3Stacho took 2 of 3
S2Stacho1Jungman2n = 3Jungman took 2 of 3
S3Stacho3Jungman0n = 3Stacho took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricStachoJungmanS − JBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match46.735.3+11.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStachoJungmanBasisWin rate · lifetime38 / 72 vs 81 / 14852.8%54.7%38 / 72 vs 81 / 148Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.336.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StachoStacho 1.57/Jungman 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Stacho · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Stacho won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 15 · 12:59L. Stacho—8121911113F. Jungman—111417942
WAug 15 · 12:30L. Stacho—1211113F. Jungman—10570
WMay 8 · 15:30L. Stacho—111211113F. Jungman—314481
L. Stacho10
LAug 15 · 17:30L. Stacho1.8011211792D. Oborny1.91811611113WAug 15 · 16:30F. Jungman2.6331070L. Stacho1.441112113WAug 15 · 15:30L. Stacho1.671211113K. Darin2.1010670WAug 15 · 14:30D. Oborny1.40341161L. Stacho2.7511119113WAug 15 · 12:59L. Stacho1.408121911113F. Jungman2.75111417942LAug 15 · 11:00L. Stacho1.618890Y. Holovatiuk2.201111113LAug 15 · 10:00D. Oborny1.6113411113L. Stacho2.201111641LJul 16 · 17:30L. Stacho2.21711151K. Darin1.5411119113WJul 16 · 16:30L. Stacho1.501181210113K. Darin2.50311101282WJul 16 · 15:00L. Stacho2.101111113J. Plachy1.676870
F. Jungman10
WSep 6 · 16:59F. Jungman1.61811911113J. Steffan2.2011611862LSep 6 · 16:00J. Trefny1.5711147123F. Jungman2.2551211101LSep 6 · 15:00J. Dedek1.3311311113F. Jungman3.25911931WSep 6 · 14:30F. Jungman1.731111115113J. Steffan2.0037131172WSep 6 · 13:30F. Jungman1.571111113F. Briza2.257980WSep 6 · 12:00K. Darin1.801111511102F. Jungman1.91281113123WSep 6 · 11:00F. Briza2.006820F. Jungman1.731111113WSep 6 · 10:30F. Jungman1.5311811113L. Malek2.38711791LAug 15 · 16:30F. Jungman2.6331070L. Stacho1.441112113LAug 15 · 12:59L. Stacho1.408121911113F. Jungman2.75111417942
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